League Two

League Two | Gameweek 20

Dec 26, 2020 at 3pm UK

Globe Arena

Morecambe
3 - 1
Grimsby Town

Mendes Gomes (58', 71'), Phillips (90+3')
Stockton (45'), Songo'o (56')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Pollock (21')

Coverage of the League Two clash between Morecambe and Grimsby Town.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Morecambe win with a probability of 36.61%. A win for Grimsby Town had a probability of 36.03% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Morecambe win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.96%) and 2-0 (6.54%). The likeliest Grimsby Town win was 0-1 (10.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.96%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Morecambe would win this match.

Result
Morecambe	Draw	Grimsby Town
36.61%	27.36%	36.03%

Both teams to score 49.76%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.19%

55.81%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.06%

76.93%

Morecambe Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.72%

29.28%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.76%

65.24%

Grimsby Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.37%

29.63%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.32%

65.67%

Score Analysis

Morecambe 36.6%

Grimsby Town 36.03%

Draw 27.36%

Morecambe	Draw	Grimsby Town
1-0 @ 10.65% 2-1 @ 7.96% 2-0 @ 6.54% 3-1 @ 3.26% 3-0 @ 2.68% 3-2 @ 1.98% 4-1 @ 1% Other @ 2.52% Total : 36.6%	1-1 @ 12.96% 0-0 @ 8.68% 2-2 @ 4.84% Other @ 0.88% Total : 27.36%	0-1 @ 10.55% 1-2 @ 7.88% 0-2 @ 6.42% 1-3 @ 3.2% 0-3 @ 2.6% 2-3 @ 1.96% 1-4 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.44% Total : 36.03%