Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnsley win with a probability of 37.01%. A win for Exeter City had a probability of 36.06% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barnsley win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.1%) and 0-2 (6.5%). The likeliest Exeter City win was 1-0 (10.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.79%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood.