League One | Gameweek 34
Feb 25, 2023 at 3pm UK
Oakwell Stadium
Barnsley4 - 1Derby
Coverage of the League One clash between Barnsley and Derby County.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Cheltenham 0-4 Barnsley
Saturday, February 18 at 3pm in League One
Saturday, February 18 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Derby 2-0 Charlton
Saturday, February 18 at 3pm in League One
Saturday, February 18 at 3pm in League One
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnsley win with a probability of 36.76%. A win for Derby County had a probability of 35.65% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barnsley win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.93%) and 2-0 (6.65%). The likeliest Derby County win was 0-1 (10.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.04%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Barnsley would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Barnsley | Draw | Derby County |
36.76% ( -0.03) | 27.59% ( 0) | 35.65% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 49.05% ( -0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.3% ( -0.01) | 56.7% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.34% ( -0) | 77.66% ( 0) |
| Barnsley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.38% ( -0.02) | 29.62% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 34.34% ( -0.02) | 65.66% ( 0.03) |
| Derby County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.69% ( 0.01) | 30.31% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 33.51% ( 0.02) | 66.49% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
Barnsley 36.75%
Derby County 35.64%
Draw 27.59%
| Barnsley | Draw | Derby County |
| 1-0 @ 10.92% 2-1 @ 7.93% ( -0)2-0 @ 6.65% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 3.22% ( -0)3-0 @ 2.7% ( -0)3-2 @ 1.92% ( -0)4-1 @ 0.98% ( -0)Other @ 2.45% Total : 36.75% | 1-1 @ 13.04% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 8.98% ( 0)2-2 @ 4.73% ( -0)Other @ 0.84% Total : 27.59% | 0-1 @ 10.71% 1-2 @ 7.78% ( 0)0-2 @ 6.4% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 3.1% ( 0)0-3 @ 2.55% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.88% ( 0)1-4 @ 0.92% ( 0)Other @ 2.3% Total : 35.64% |
How you voted: Barnsley vs Derby
Barnsley
33.3%Draw
33.3%Derby County
33.3%6
Head to Head
Jan 8, 2023 12.30pm
Third Round
Derby
3-0
Barnsley
Aug 13, 2022 3pm
Mar 5, 2022 3pm
Nov 3, 2021 7.45pm
Mar 10, 2021 7pm
