MX23RW : Saturday, November 23 20:29:21| >> :600:583549:583549:
Derby logo
FA Cup | Fourth Round
Jan 30, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Pride Park Stadium
West Ham logo

Derby
0 - 2
West Ham


Smith (22')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Bowen (10'), Antonio (50')
Soucek (70')

The Match

Match Report

West Ham United are through to the fifth round of the FA Cup after securing a routine 2-0 victory against Derby County at Pride Park on Monday night.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's FA Cup clash between Derby County and West Ham United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Port Vale 1-2 Derby
Tuesday, January 24 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: West Ham 2-0 Everton
Saturday, January 21 at 3pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a West Ham United win with a probability of 37.84%. A win for Derby County had a probability of 36.21% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a West Ham United win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.35%) and 0-2 (6.33%). The likeliest Derby County win was 1-0 (9.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.32%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that West Ham United would win this match.

Result
Derby CountyDrawWest Ham United
36.21% (0.649 0.65) 25.95% (0.059000000000001 0.06) 37.84% (-0.708 -0.71)
Both teams to score 54.39% (-0.15 -0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.04% (-0.213 -0.21)49.96% (0.212 0.21)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.06% (-0.19 -0.19)71.94% (0.18900000000001 0.19)
Derby County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.29% (0.27800000000001 0.28)26.7% (-0.279 -0.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.03% (0.366 0.37)61.96% (-0.367 -0.37)
West Ham United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.21% (-0.488 -0.49)25.78% (0.486 0.49)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.27% (-0.665 -0.66)60.73% (0.66399999999999 0.66)
Score Analysis
    Derby County 36.21%
    West Ham United 37.84%
    Draw 25.95%
Derby CountyDrawWest Ham United
1-0 @ 9.09% (0.149 0.15)
2-1 @ 8.13% (0.084 0.08)
2-0 @ 6% (0.144 0.14)
3-1 @ 3.58% (0.065 0.07)
3-0 @ 2.64% (0.084 0.08)
3-2 @ 2.43% (0.01 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.18% (0.031 0.03)
Other @ 3.16%
Total : 36.21%
1-1 @ 12.32% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
0-0 @ 6.89% (0.059 0.06)
2-2 @ 5.51% (-0.019 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.1% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.95%
0-1 @ 9.33% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
1-2 @ 8.35% (-0.094999999999999 -0.09)
0-2 @ 6.33% (-0.123 -0.12)
1-3 @ 3.77% (-0.097 -0.1)
0-3 @ 2.86% (-0.096 -0.1)
2-3 @ 2.49% (-0.044 -0.04)
1-4 @ 1.28% (-0.051 -0.05)
0-4 @ 0.97% (-0.047 -0.05)
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 37.84%

How you voted: Derby vs West Ham

Derby County
33.1%
Draw
17.4%
West Ham United
49.6%
236
Head to Head
Dec 31, 2011 1pm
Derby
2-1
West Ham
Green (10'), Ball (2')
Nouble (42')
Lansbury (24'), O'Brien (57'), Reid (66'), O'Neil (90')
Nov 26, 2011 5.20pm
West Ham
3-1
Derby
Nolan (64'), Noble (74' pen.), Cole (44')
McCartney (40')

Davies (44')
Apr 19, 2008 3pm
West Ham
2-1
Derby
Zamora (20'), Cole (77')
Noble (80'), Parker (83')
Mears (65')
Stubbs (74')
Nov 10, 2007 3pm
Derby
0-5
West Ham

Oakley (21'), Fagan (89')
Lewis (55' og.), Solano (69'), Etherington (51'), Bowyer (42', 59')
Bowyer (34')
Jan 23, 2005 3pm
West Ham
1-2
Derby
Fletcher (26')
Fletcher (22')
Rasiak (10', 63')
Camp (42'), Rasiak (81')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
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2Manchester CityMan City127232217523
3Chelsea126422314922
4Arsenal126422112922
5Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton126422116522
6Tottenham HotspurSpurs1261527131419
7Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest125431513219
8Aston Villa125431919019
9Newcastle UnitedNewcastle115331311218
10Fulham125341717018
11Brentford125252222017
12Manchester UnitedMan Utd114341212015
13Bournemouth124351617-115
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham113351319-612
15Everton122551017-711
16Leicester CityLeicester122461523-810
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves122372028-89
18Crystal Palace121561017-78
19Ipswich TownIpswich111551222-108
20Southampton11119721-144


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