FA Cup

FA Cup | Fourth Round

Jan 30, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Pride Park Stadium

Derby
0 - 2
West Ham

Smith (22')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Bowen (10'), Antonio (50')
Soucek (70')

The Match

Match Report

West Ham United are through to the fifth round of the FA Cup after securing a routine 2-0 victory against Derby County at Pride Park on Monday night.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's FA Cup clash between Derby County and West Ham United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Derby County

All competitions

FA Cup

Last Game: Port Vale 1-2 Derby
Tuesday, January 24 at 7.45pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

West Ham United

All competitions

FA Cup

Last Game: West Ham 2-0 Everton
Saturday, January 21 at 3pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a West Ham United win with a probability of 37.84%. A win for Derby County had a probability of 36.21% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a West Ham United win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.35%) and 0-2 (6.33%). The likeliest Derby County win was 1-0 (9.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.32%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that West Ham United would win this match.

Result
Derby County	Draw	West Ham United
36.21% ( 0.65)	25.95% ( 0.06)	37.84% ( -0.71)

Both teams to score 54.39% (

-0.15)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.04% (

-0.21)

49.96% (

0.21)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.06% (

-0.19)

71.94% (

0.19)

Derby County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.29% (

0.28)

26.7% (

-0.28)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.03% (

0.37)

61.96% (

-0.37)

West Ham United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.21% (

-0.49)

25.78% (

0.49)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.27% (

-0.66)

60.73% (

0.66)

Score Analysis

Derby County 36.21%

West Ham United 37.84%

Draw 25.95%

Derby County	Draw	West Ham United
1-0 @ 9.09% ( 0.15) 2-1 @ 8.13% ( 0.08) 2-0 @ 6% ( 0.14) 3-1 @ 3.58% ( 0.07) 3-0 @ 2.64% ( 0.08) 3-2 @ 2.43% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.18% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.16% Total : 36.21%	1-1 @ 12.32% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 6.89% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 5.51% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.1% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.95%	0-1 @ 9.33% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 8.35% ( -0.09) 0-2 @ 6.33% ( -0.12) 1-3 @ 3.77% ( -0.1) 0-3 @ 2.86% ( -0.1) 2-3 @ 2.49% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 1.28% ( -0.05) 0-4 @ 0.97% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.46% Total : 37.84%