League One | Gameweek 31
Feb 11, 2023 at 3pm UK
Adams Park
Wycombe3 - 2Derby
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Port Vale 0-3 Wycombe
Saturday, February 4 at 3pm in League One
Saturday, February 4 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Derby 5-0 Morecambe
Saturday, February 4 at 3pm in League One
Saturday, February 4 at 3pm in League One
We said: Wycombe Wanderers 1-2 Derby County
Although Wycombe have won four of their last five home games, we think they will be beaten by a Derby side in red-hot form after recording six consecutive victories in League One. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 48.12%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Wycombe Wanderers had a probability of 25.75%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.18%) and 0-2 (9.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.37%), while for a Wycombe Wanderers win it was 1-0 (8.34%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Wycombe Wanderers | Draw | Derby County |
25.75% ( -0.12) | 26.12% ( -0.01) | 48.12% ( 0.13) |
| Both teams to score 49.17% ( -0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.46% ( -0.04) | 54.53% ( 0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.11% ( -0.03) | 75.88% ( 0.03) |
| Wycombe Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.59% ( -0.12) | 36.41% ( 0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 26.8% ( -0.12) | 73.2% ( 0.12) |
| Derby County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.32% ( 0.04) | 22.68% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 43.67% ( 0.06) | 56.32% ( -0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
Wycombe Wanderers 25.75%
Derby County 48.12%
Draw 26.11%
| Wycombe Wanderers | Draw | Derby County |
| 1-0 @ 8.34% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 6.25% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 4.21% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 2.11% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 1.56% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 1.42% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.86% Total : 25.75% | 1-1 @ 12.37% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.26% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 4.64% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.85% Total : 26.11% | 0-1 @ 12.25% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 9.18% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 9.09% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 4.54% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 4.5% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2.3% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.69% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 1.67% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.91% Total : 48.12% |
How you voted: Wycombe vs Derby
Wycombe Wanderers
21.4%Draw
3.6%Derby County
75.0%28
Head to Head
Sep 17, 2022 3pm
Nov 28, 2020 3pm
