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League One
Cheltenham Town
League One | Gameweek 33
Feb 18, 2023 at 3pm UK
Jonny-Rocks Stadium
Barnsley

Cheltenham
0 - 4
Barnsley

FT(HT: 0-3)
Norwood (7'), Kane (14'), Phillips (36'), Williams (73')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Cheltenham Town and Barnsley, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cheltenham Town

All competitions
Last Game: Cambridge 1-2 Cheltenham
Tuesday, February 14 at 7.45pm in League One

Barnsley

All competitions
Last Game: Port Vale 1-3 Barnsley
Tuesday, February 14 at 7.45pm in League One

We said: Cheltenham Town 1-3 Barnsley

 Although Cheltenham claimed their first league win of 2023 last weekend, they are unbeaten in four home matches in the third tier, and we think that they will be unable to trouble a Barnsley side who have won four of their last five games. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnsley win with a probability of 46.67%. A win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 27.49% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barnsley win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.19%) and 0-2 (8.47%). The likeliest Cheltenham Town win was 1-0 (8.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.28%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Barnsley would win this match.

Result
Cheltenham TownDrawBarnsley
27.49% (0.0090000000000003 0.01) 25.84% (0.0060000000000002 0.01) 46.67% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Both teams to score 51.38% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.69% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)52.31% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.99% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)74% (0.013000000000005 0.01)
Cheltenham Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.21%33.78% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.55% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)70.44% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Barnsley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.6% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)22.4% (0.012999999999998 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.09% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)55.91% (0.021999999999998 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Cheltenham Town 27.49%
    Barnsley 46.67%
    Draw 25.83%
Cheltenham TownDrawBarnsley
1-0 @ 8.21% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
2-1 @ 6.67% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-0 @ 4.46% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 2.41% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 1.8% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-0 @ 1.61% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 27.49%
1-1 @ 12.28%
0-0 @ 7.57% (0.0039999999999996 0)
2-2 @ 4.99% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
Other @ 1%
Total : 25.83%
0-1 @ 11.32% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 9.19% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
0-2 @ 8.47% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
1-3 @ 4.58% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 4.22% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 2.49% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-4 @ 1.72% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-4 @ 1.58% (-0.002 -0)
2-4 @ 0.93% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.17%
Total : 46.67%

How you voted: Cheltenham vs Barnsley

Cheltenham Town
22.2%
Draw
5.6%
Barnsley
72.2%
18
Head to Head
Aug 6, 2022 3pm
Barnsley
1-0
Cheltenham
Thomas (66')

Long (9'), Sercombe (16'), Bonds (44'), Adshead (69')
Jul 19, 2016 7.45pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Cheltenham
1-3
Barnsley
Holman (83')
Winnall (35', 45'), Tuton (87')
rhs 2.0
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1Birmingham CityBirmingham19143235161945
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4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield20123534181639
5Stockport CountyStockport21106534221236
6Lincoln CityLincoln218762825331
7Reading209473030031
8Bolton WanderersBolton199462829-131
9Barnsley218672930-130
10Mansfield TownMansfield198472322128
11Charlton AthleticCharlton207672319427
12Blackpool207672931-227
13Exeter CityExeter208391922-327
14Stevenage197571517-226
15Leyton Orient207492320325
16Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2073103837124
17Wigan AthleticWigan206681918124
18Rotherham UnitedRotherham196581921-223
19Bristol Rovers2064101829-1122
20Northampton TownNorthampton2156102134-1321
21Crawley TownCrawley2054112033-1319
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge2045112035-1517
23Burton Albion2026121732-1512
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2033142141-2012
> League One Full Table


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