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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnsley win with a probability of 46.67%. A win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 27.49% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barnsley win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.19%) and 0-2 (8.47%). The likeliest Cheltenham Town win was 1-0 (8.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.28%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Barnsley would win this match.
Result | ||
Cheltenham Town | Draw | Barnsley |
27.49% ( 0.01) | 25.84% ( 0.01) | 46.67% ( -0.02) |
Both teams to score 51.38% ( -0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.69% ( -0.02) | 52.31% ( 0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.99% ( -0.02) | 74% ( 0.01) |
Cheltenham Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.21% | 33.78% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.55% ( -0) | 70.44% ( -0) |
Barnsley Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.6% ( -0.02) | 22.4% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.09% ( -0.02) | 55.91% ( 0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Cheltenham Town | Draw | Barnsley |
1-0 @ 8.21% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 6.67% ( 0) 2-0 @ 4.46% ( 0) 3-1 @ 2.41% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.8% ( -0) 3-0 @ 1.61% ( 0) Other @ 2.33% Total : 27.49% | 1-1 @ 12.28% 0-0 @ 7.57% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.99% ( -0) Other @ 1% Total : 25.83% | 0-1 @ 11.32% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 9.19% ( -0) 0-2 @ 8.47% ( -0) 1-3 @ 4.58% ( -0) 0-3 @ 4.22% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.49% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.72% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.58% ( -0) 2-4 @ 0.93% ( -0) Other @ 2.17% Total : 46.67% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 15 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 35 | 18 | 17 | 35 |
2 | Wrexham | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 31 |
3 | Stockport CountyStockport | 17 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 29 | 17 | 12 | 30 |
4 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 14 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 26 | 15 | 11 | 30 |
5 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 26 |
6 | Barnsley | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 24 | 20 | 4 | 26 |
7 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 23 | 20 | 3 | 26 |
8 | Reading | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 24 | 22 | 2 | 26 |
9 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 24 | 25 | -1 | 26 |
10 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 24 |
11 | Exeter CityExeter | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 14 | 13 | 1 | 23 |
12 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 32 | 29 | 3 | 21 |
13 | Bristol Rovers | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 17 | 21 | -4 | 21 |
14 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 19 |
15 | Stevenage | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 16 | -5 | 19 |
16 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 18 |
17 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 17 |
18 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 17 |
19 | Blackpool | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 30 | -8 | 17 |
20 | Crawley TownCrawley | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 15 | 27 | -12 | 16 |
21 | Leyton Orient | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 15 |
22 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 12 |
23 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 16 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 16 | 29 | -13 | 11 |
24 | Burton Albion | 15 | 1 | 5 | 9 | 15 | 28 | -13 | 8 |
> League One Full Table |