Home > Football > League One
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnsley win with a probability of 46.67%. A win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 27.49% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barnsley win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.19%) and 0-2 (8.47%). The likeliest Cheltenham Town win was 1-0 (8.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.28%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Barnsley would win this match.
Result | ||
Cheltenham Town | Draw | Barnsley |
27.49% ( 0.01) | 25.84% ( 0.01) | 46.67% ( -0.02) |
Both teams to score 51.38% ( -0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.69% ( -0.02) | 52.31% ( 0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.99% ( -0.02) | 74% ( 0.01) |
Cheltenham Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.21% | 33.78% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.55% ( -0) | 70.44% ( -0) |
Barnsley Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.6% ( -0.02) | 22.4% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.09% ( -0.02) | 55.91% ( 0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Cheltenham Town | Draw | Barnsley |
1-0 @ 8.21% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 6.67% ( 0) 2-0 @ 4.46% ( 0) 3-1 @ 2.41% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.8% ( -0) 3-0 @ 1.61% ( 0) Other @ 2.33% Total : 27.49% | 1-1 @ 12.28% 0-0 @ 7.57% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.99% ( -0) Other @ 1% Total : 25.83% | 0-1 @ 11.32% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 9.19% ( -0) 0-2 @ 8.47% ( -0) 1-3 @ 4.58% ( -0) 0-3 @ 4.22% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.49% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.72% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.58% ( -0) 2-4 @ 0.93% ( -0) Other @ 2.17% Total : 46.67% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 14 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 32 | 16 | 16 | 32 |
2 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 13 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 24 | 12 | 12 | 30 |
3 | Wrexham | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 22 | 10 | 12 | 28 |
4 | Barnsley | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 23 | 18 | 5 | 25 |
5 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 25 |
6 | Stockport CountyStockport | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 25 | 17 | 8 | 24 |
7 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 24 |
8 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 21 | 14 | 7 | 23 |
9 | Reading | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 22 | 21 | 1 | 23 |
10 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 23 |
11 | Exeter CityExeter | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 22 |
12 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 31 | 27 | 4 | 21 |
13 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 19 |
14 | Stevenage | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 16 | -5 | 18 |
15 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 17 |
16 | Bristol Rovers | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 16 | 21 | -5 | 17 |
17 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 16 |
18 | Blackpool | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 21 | 28 | -7 | 16 |
19 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 14 |
20 | Leyton Orient | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 14 |
21 | Crawley TownCrawley | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 14 | 27 | -13 | 12 |
22 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 13 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 12 | 23 | -11 | 10 |
23 | Burton Albion | 14 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 8 |
24 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 15 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 13 | 27 | -14 | 8 |
> League One Full Table |