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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cambridge United win with a probability of 37.76%. A win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 34.89% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cambridge United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.11%) and 2-0 (6.8%). The likeliest Cheltenham Town win was 0-1 (10.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Cambridge United | Draw | Cheltenham Town |
37.76% ( -0.17) | 27.35% ( -0.26) | 34.89% ( 0.43) |
Both teams to score 49.73% ( 0.84) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.17% ( 1.04) | 55.82% ( -1.04) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.05% ( 0.84) | 76.94% ( -0.84) |
Cambridge United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.4% ( 0.4) | 28.6% ( -0.4) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.6% ( 0.5) | 64.39% ( -0.5) |
Cheltenham Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.65% ( 0.8) | 30.35% ( -0.8) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.46% ( 0.94) | 66.54% ( -0.94) |
Score Analysis |
Cambridge United | Draw | Cheltenham Town |
1-0 @ 10.86% ( -0.32) 2-1 @ 8.11% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 6.8% ( -0.12) 3-1 @ 3.38% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 2.84% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.02% ( 0.08) 4-1 @ 1.06% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.68% Total : 37.75% | 1-1 @ 12.95% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 8.68% ( -0.35) 2-2 @ 4.83% ( 0.13) Other @ 0.88% Total : 27.35% | 0-1 @ 10.34% ( -0.19) 1-2 @ 7.72% ( 0.12) 0-2 @ 6.17% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 3.07% ( 0.11) 0-3 @ 2.45% ( 0.06) 2-3 @ 1.92% ( 0.09) 1-4 @ 0.92% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.29% Total : 34.88% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Wrexham | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 16 |
2 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 16 |
3 | Barnsley | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 13 |
4 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 13 |
5 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 8 | 3 | 12 |
6 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 11 |
7 | Stockport CountyStockport | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 11 |
8 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 11 |
9 | Blackpool | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 11 |
10 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 11 |
11 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 10 |
12 | Exeter CityExeter | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 9 |
13 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 8 |
14 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 8 |
15 | Stevenage | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 8 |
16 | Leyton Orient | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 7 |
17 | Reading | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 7 |
18 | Crawley TownCrawley | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 7 |
19 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 7 |
20 | Bristol Rovers | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 7 |
21 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 9 | -4 | 6 |
22 | Burton Albion | 6 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 10 | -2 | 4 |
23 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 5 | 12 | -7 | 3 |
24 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 1 |
> League One Full Table |