Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shrewsbury Town win with a probability of 45.6%. A win for Cambridge United had a probability of 27.7% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shrewsbury Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.94%) and 2-0 (8.59%). The likeliest Cambridge United win was 0-1 (8.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.63%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Shrewsbury Town would win this match.