League One

League One | Gameweek 24

Dec 29, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

Montgomery Waters Meadow

Shrewsbury
0 - 1
Cheltenham

Shipley (58')
Leahy (69')

FT(HT: 0-1)

N'Lundulu (38')
N'Lundulu (60'), Norton (87'), Freestone (88'), Bonds (90+6')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's League One clash between Shrewsbury Town and Cheltenham Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Shrewsbury Town

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Cambridge 2-1 Shrewsbury
Monday, December 26 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Cheltenham Town

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Cheltenham 0-1 Plymouth
Monday, December 26 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Shrewsbury Town 0-0 Cheltenham Town

With both sides generally more effective defensively than offensively, we can envisage a stalemate playing out at Montgomery Waters Meadow on Thursday. Both managers tend to prefer a 3-4-1-2 formation, too, increasing the chances of the two sets of players cancelling each other out on the day. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shrewsbury Town win with a probability of 43.55%. A win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 29.07% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shrewsbury Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.65%) and 2-0 (8.29%). The likeliest Cheltenham Town win was 0-1 (9.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.88%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood.

Result
Shrewsbury Town	Draw	Cheltenham Town
43.55% ( 0.01)	27.37% ( 0.01)	29.07% ( -0.03)

Both teams to score 47.84% (

-0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.64% (

-0.05)

57.35% (

0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.81% (

-0.04)

78.18% (

0.03)

Shrewsbury Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.86% (

-0.02)

26.13% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.8% (

-0.02)

61.2% (

0.01)

Cheltenham Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.76% (

-0.05)

35.23% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.01% (

-0.05)

71.98% (

0.04)

Score Analysis

Shrewsbury Town 43.54%

Cheltenham Town 29.07%

Draw 27.36%

Shrewsbury Town	Draw	Cheltenham Town
1-0 @ 12.35% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.65% ( -0) 2-0 @ 8.29% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 3.87% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.71% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.02% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.3% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.24% Other @ 2.12% Total : 43.54%	1-1 @ 12.88% 0-0 @ 9.21% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.51% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.77% Total : 27.36%	0-1 @ 9.6% ( 0) 1-2 @ 6.72% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 5.01% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.34% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.74% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.57% ( -0) Other @ 2.09% Total : 29.07%