League One | Gameweek 37
Mar 18, 2023 at 3pm UK
Jonny-Rocks Stadium
Cheltenham3 - 1Exeter
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Peterborough 0-3 Cheltenham
Saturday, March 11 at 3pm in League One
Saturday, March 11 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Exeter 2-1 Lincoln
Saturday, March 11 at 3pm in League One
Saturday, March 11 at 3pm in League One
We said: Cheltenham Town 2-1 Exeter City
Both sides are unbeaten in their last three league outings, so we can see this one being a closely-fought contest. However, the Grecians have only picked up one point from their last three road trips, so we think the home side will edge this contest. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 37.78%. A win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 35.4% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.22%) and 0-2 (6.63%). The likeliest Cheltenham Town win was 1-0 (9.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.74%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Cheltenham Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Cheltenham Town | Draw | Exeter City |
35.4% ( -0.02) | 26.82% ( -0.01) | 37.78% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 51.46% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.33% ( 0.05) | 53.66% ( -0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.84% ( 0.04) | 75.16% ( -0.04) |
| Cheltenham Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.03% ( 0.01) | 28.97% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 35.14% ( 0.01) | 64.86% ( -0.01) |
| Exeter City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.44% ( 0.04) | 27.55% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 36.93% ( 0.06) | 63.07% ( -0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
Cheltenham Town 35.4%
Exeter City 37.77%
Draw 26.81%
| Cheltenham Town | Draw | Exeter City |
| 1-0 @ 9.89% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 7.9% ( -0)2-0 @ 6.13% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 3.26% 3-0 @ 2.53% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.1% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.59% Total : 35.4% | 1-1 @ 12.74% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.98% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 5.09% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 0.9% ( 0)Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.81% | 0-1 @ 10.28% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 8.22% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 6.63% ( 0)1-3 @ 3.53% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 2.85% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.19% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.14% ( 0)0-4 @ 0.92% ( 0)Other @ 2.02% Total : 37.77% |
Form Guide
