League One | Gameweek 5
Aug 20, 2022 at 3pm UK
St James Park
Exeter0 - 1Cheltenham
Coverage of the League One clash between Exeter City and Cheltenham Town.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Exeter 3-1 Wycombe
Tuesday, August 16 at 7.45pm in League One
Tuesday, August 16 at 7.45pm in League One
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 4 | Bolton Wanderers | 4 | 4 | 8 |
| 5 | Exeter City | 4 | 5 | 7 |
| 6 | Charlton Athletic | 4 | 4 | 7 |
Last Game: Fleetwood 0-0 Cheltenham
Tuesday, August 16 at 7.45pm in League One
Tuesday, August 16 at 7.45pm in League One
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 22 | Morecambe | 4 | -4 | 2 |
| 23 | Cheltenham Town | 4 | -4 | 1 |
| 24 | Burton Albion | 4 | -8 | 1 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 58.77%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 18.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.11%) and 2-1 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.94%), while for a Cheltenham Town win it was 0-1 (6.14%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Exeter City | Draw | Cheltenham Town |
58.77% ( -1.09) | 23.03% ( 0.73) | 18.2% ( 0.36) |
| Both teams to score 48.59% ( -1.55) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.66% ( -2.42) | 50.34% ( 2.42) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.72% ( -2.18) | 72.29% ( 2.19) |
| Exeter City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.18% ( -1.21) | 16.82% ( 1.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 53.2% ( -2.2) | 46.8% ( 2.2) |
| Cheltenham Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.42% ( -1) | 41.58% ( 1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 21.93% ( -0.89) | 78.07% ( 0.89) |
| Score Analysis |
Exeter City 58.76%
Cheltenham Town 18.2%
Draw 23.03%
| Exeter City | Draw | Cheltenham Town |
| 1-0 @ 12.46% ( 0.7) 2-0 @ 11.11% ( 0.19)2-1 @ 9.75% ( -0.1)3-0 @ 6.6% ( -0.16)3-1 @ 5.8% ( -0.31)4-0 @ 2.94% ( -0.2)4-1 @ 2.58% ( -0.25)3-2 @ 2.54% ( -0.21)4-2 @ 1.13% ( -0.14)5-0 @ 1.05% ( -0.12)5-1 @ 0.92% ( -0.13)Other @ 1.87% Total : 58.76% | 1-1 @ 10.94% ( 0.33) 0-0 @ 6.99% ( 0.66)2-2 @ 4.28% ( -0.17)Other @ 0.82% Total : 23.03% | 0-1 @ 6.14% ( 0.42) 1-2 @ 4.8% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 2.69% ( 0.12)1-3 @ 1.4% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 1.25% ( -0.09)Other @ 1.91% Total : 18.2% |
How you voted: Exeter vs Cheltenham
Exeter City
100%Draw
0.0%Cheltenham Town
0.0%5
Head to Head
Oct 5, 2021 7pm
Cheltenham
2-2
Exeter
Exeter win 3-2 on penalties
Mar 13, 2021 3pm
Apr 4, 2020 3pm
Form Guide
