League One | Gameweek 5
Aug 20, 2022 at 3pm UK
St James Park
Exeter0 - 1Cheltenham
Coverage of the League One clash between Exeter City and Cheltenham Town.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Exeter 3-1 Wycombe
Tuesday, August 16 at 7.45pm in League One
Tuesday, August 16 at 7.45pm in League One
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 4 | Bolton Wanderers | 4 | 4 | 8 |
| 5 | Exeter City | 4 | 5 | 7 |
| 6 | Charlton Athletic | 4 | 4 | 7 |
Last Game: Fleetwood 0-0 Cheltenham
Tuesday, August 16 at 7.45pm in League One
Tuesday, August 16 at 7.45pm in League One
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 22 | Morecambe | 4 | -4 | 2 |
| 23 | Cheltenham Town | 4 | -4 | 1 |
| 24 | Burton Albion | 4 | -8 | 1 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 58.77%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 18.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.11%) and 2-1 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.94%), while for a Cheltenham Town win it was 0-1 (6.14%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Exeter City | Draw | Cheltenham Town |
58.77% ( -1.09) | 23.03% ( 0.73) | 18.2% ( 0.36) |
| Both teams to score 48.59% ( -1.55) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
