Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 53.72%. A win for Wrexham had a probability of 23.89% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.65%) and 2-0 (8.18%). The likeliest Wrexham win was 1-2 (6.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.31%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.