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Exeter City
League One | Gameweek 37
Mar 9, 2024 at 3pm UK
St James Park
Bolton logo

Exeter
2 - 2
Bolton

Cox (46', 49')
Aitchison (73'), Sweeney (90+7')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Maghoma (33'), Toal (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Exeter City and Bolton Wanderers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Peterborough 2-1 Exeter
Saturday, March 2 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Barnsley 2-2 Bolton
Tuesday, March 5 at 7.45pm in League One

We said: Exeter City 1-2 Bolton Wanderers

Exeter have only picked up one point from their last four games, and things are unlikely to get any easier for them against one of the strongest teams in the division on Saturday. Bolton should be riding high after coming from two goals behind to claim a precious point away to their promotion rivals Barnsley in midweek, while the potential return of Charles to their travelling squad will provide another boost. We expect them to claim a narrow victory and remain in the top two positions. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 50.41%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Exeter City had a probability of 24.63%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.5%) and 0-2 (9.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.87%), while for a Exeter City win it was 1-0 (7.42%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.

Result
Exeter CityDrawBolton Wanderers
24.63% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 24.96% (-0.0010000000000012 -0) 50.41% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Both teams to score 51.57% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.13% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)50.87% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.25% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)72.75% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Exeter City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.61%35.38% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.85% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)72.14% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Bolton Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.81% (0.0049999999999955 0)20.19% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.51% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)52.49% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Score Analysis
    Exeter City 24.63%
    Bolton Wanderers 50.41%
    Draw 24.96%
Exeter CityDrawBolton Wanderers
1-0 @ 7.42% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-1 @ 6.17% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 3.86% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-1 @ 2.14%
3-2 @ 1.71%
3-0 @ 1.34%
Other @ 2%
Total : 24.63%
1-1 @ 11.87%
0-0 @ 7.14% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-2 @ 4.94%
3-3 @ 0.91% (0.001 0)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 24.96%
0-1 @ 11.43%
1-2 @ 9.5%
0-2 @ 9.14%
1-3 @ 5.07% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-3 @ 4.88% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-3 @ 2.63%
1-4 @ 2.03% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-4 @ 1.95% (0.0010000000000001 0)
2-4 @ 1.05%
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 50.41%

How you voted: Exeter vs Bolton

Exeter City
8.0%
Draw
16.0%
Bolton Wanderers
76.0%
25
Head to Head
Nov 25, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 19
Bolton
7-0
Exeter
Iredale (34'), Adeboyejo (43'), Maghoma (55'), Charles (63', 74'), Dempsey (86'), N'Lundulu (90+2')

Jules (18')
Apr 7, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 40
Exeter
0-1
Bolton
Bradley (27')
Dec 17, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 22
Bolton
2-0
Exeter
Bradley (8'), Charles (26')
May 1, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 45
Bolton
1-2
Exeter
Jones (15')
Baptiste (32'), Williams (37')
Williams (49'), Sweeney (90+6')
Key (27'), Hartridge (29'), Willmott (42'), Taylor (79'), Sparkes (84')
Jan 12, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 23
Exeter
1-1
Bolton
Santos (62' og.)
Atangana (67')
Gnahoua (73')
Sarcevic (53'), Brockbank (60')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe15112235181735
2Wrexham1694325111431
3Stockport CountyStockport1786329171230
4Birmingham CityBirmingham1493226151130
5Huddersfield TownHuddersfield158252315826
6Barnsley167542420426
7Lincoln CityLincoln167542320326
8Reading158252422226
9Bolton WanderersBolton158252425-126
10Mansfield TownMansfield147342016424
11Exeter CityExeter157261413123
12Peterborough UnitedPeterborough166373229321
13Bristol Rovers166371721-421
14Charlton AthleticCharlton155461617-119
15Stevenage165471116-519
16Northampton TownNorthampton164661821-318
17Wigan AthleticWigan154561312117
18Rotherham UnitedRotherham164571419-517
19Blackpool164572230-817
20Crawley TownCrawley174491527-1216
21Leyton Orient154381418-415
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge153391324-1112
23Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1632111629-1311
24Burton Albion151591528-138


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