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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 50.41%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Exeter City had a probability of 24.63%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.5%) and 0-2 (9.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.87%), while for a Exeter City win it was 1-0 (7.42%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Exeter City | Draw | Bolton Wanderers |
24.63% ( -0) | 24.96% ( -0) | 50.41% ( 0.01) |
Both teams to score 51.57% ( 0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.13% ( 0.01) | 50.87% ( -0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.25% ( 0.01) | 72.75% ( -0) |
Exeter City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.61% | 35.38% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.85% ( -0) | 72.14% ( 0) |
Bolton Wanderers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.81% ( 0) | 20.19% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.51% ( 0.01) | 52.49% ( -0) |
Score Analysis |
Exeter City | Draw | Bolton Wanderers |
1-0 @ 7.42% ( -0) 2-1 @ 6.17% ( -0) 2-0 @ 3.86% ( -0) 3-1 @ 2.14% 3-2 @ 1.71% 3-0 @ 1.34% Other @ 2% Total : 24.63% | 1-1 @ 11.87% 0-0 @ 7.14% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.94% 3-3 @ 0.91% ( 0) Other @ 0.1% Total : 24.96% | 0-1 @ 11.43% 1-2 @ 9.5% 0-2 @ 9.14% 1-3 @ 5.07% ( 0) 0-3 @ 4.88% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.63% 1-4 @ 2.03% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.95% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.05% Other @ 2.73% Total : 50.41% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 15 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 35 | 18 | 17 | 35 |
2 | Wrexham | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 31 |
3 | Stockport CountyStockport | 17 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 29 | 17 | 12 | 30 |
4 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 14 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 26 | 15 | 11 | 30 |
5 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 26 |
6 | Barnsley | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 24 | 20 | 4 | 26 |
7 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 23 | 20 | 3 | 26 |
8 | Reading | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 24 | 22 | 2 | 26 |
9 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 24 | 25 | -1 | 26 |
10 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 24 |
11 | Exeter CityExeter | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 14 | 13 | 1 | 23 |
12 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 32 | 29 | 3 | 21 |
13 | Bristol Rovers | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 17 | 21 | -4 | 21 |
14 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 19 |
15 | Stevenage | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 16 | -5 | 19 |
16 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 18 |
17 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 17 |
18 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 17 |
19 | Blackpool | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 30 | -8 | 17 |
20 | Crawley TownCrawley | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 15 | 27 | -12 | 16 |
21 | Leyton Orient | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 15 |
22 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 12 |
23 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 16 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 16 | 29 | -13 | 11 |
24 | Burton Albion | 15 | 1 | 5 | 9 | 15 | 28 | -13 | 8 |
> League One Full Table |