Peterborough2 - 1Exeter
Form, Standings, Stats
Saturday, February 24 at 12pm in League One
Saturday, February 24 at 3pm in League One
We said: Peterborough United 2-0 Exeter City
Back-to-back away wins have allowed Peterborough to click into their playoff-clinching rhythm once again, meaning that the Posh should be confident of earning three points on Saturday. Exeter have only managed an uninspiring point against strugglers Fleetwood during their last three matches, and we believe that the Grecians' poor form will continue at Weston Homes Stadium. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 66.56%. A draw had a probability of 18.5% and a win for Exeter City had a probability of 14.96%.
The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.75%) and 1-0 (8.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.48%), while for a Exeter City win it was 1-2 (4.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Peterborough United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Peterborough United | Draw | Exeter City |
66.56% ( 0.35) | 18.47% ( -0.09) | 14.96% ( -0.26) |
| Both teams to score 56.85% ( -0.34) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.07% ( -0.13) | 35.93% ( 0.13) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.98% ( -0.14) | 58.02% ( 0.14) |
| Peterborough United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.99% ( 0.05) | 10.01% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 66.95% ( 0.11) | 33.05% ( -0.11) |
| Exeter City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.18% ( -0.41) | 36.82% ( 0.41) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 26.39% ( -0.41) | 73.6% ( 0.41) |
| Score Analysis |
| Peterborough United | Draw | Exeter City |
| 2-0 @ 9.76% ( 0.1) 2-1 @ 9.75% ( -0.01)1-0 @ 8.48% ( 0.07)3-0 @ 7.49% ( 0.1)3-1 @ 7.48% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 4.31% ( 0.06)4-1 @ 4.31% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 3.74% ( -0.04)4-2 @ 2.15% ( -0.02)5-0 @ 1.98% ( 0.03)5-1 @ 1.98% ( 0.01)5-2 @ 0.99% ( -0.01)Other @ 4.13% Total : 66.56% | 1-1 @ 8.48% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 4.87% ( -0.06)0-0 @ 3.69% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.25% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.2% Total : 18.47% | 1-2 @ 4.23% ( -0.06) 0-1 @ 3.68% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 1.84% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 1.62% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 1.41% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.17% Total : 14.96% |
