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Exeter City
League One | Gameweek 18
Feb 6, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
St James Park
Peterborough United

Exeter
2 - 1
Peterborough

Cole (75'), Katongo (80' og.)
Niskanen (9')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Burrows (32' pen.)
Olakigbe (36'), Knight (90+5')
Olakigbe (55')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Exeter City and Peterborough United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Exeter 0-1 Bristol Rovers
Saturday, February 3 at 3pm in League One

We said: Exeter City 0-2 Peterborough United

This is a tough ask for Exeter against a talented Peterborough outfit. The home side are capable of making it a frustrating evening for Ferguson's team, but we are expecting the visitors to navigate their way to an important three points in Tuesday night's affair. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 57.55%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Exeter City had a probability of 20.44%.

The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.79%) and 0-2 (9.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.33%), while for a Exeter City win it was 2-1 (5.45%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.

Result
Exeter CityDrawPeterborough United
20.44% (-1.481 -1.48) 22.02% (-0.38 -0.38) 57.55% (1.866 1.87)
Both teams to score 55.64% (-0.944 -0.94)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.14% (-0.198 -0.2)42.86% (0.205 0.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.74% (-0.197 -0.2)65.26% (0.20299999999999 0.2)
Exeter City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.19% (-1.528 -1.53)34.81% (1.534 1.53)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.46% (-1.648 -1.65)71.54% (1.652 1.65)
Peterborough United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.35% (0.542 0.54)14.65% (-0.537 -0.54)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.22% (1.029 1.03)42.78% (-1.024 -1.02)
Score Analysis
    Exeter City 20.44%
    Peterborough United 57.55%
    Draw 22.01%
Exeter CityDrawPeterborough United
2-1 @ 5.45% (-0.313 -0.31)
1-0 @ 5.38% (-0.179 -0.18)
2-0 @ 2.84% (-0.22 -0.22)
3-1 @ 1.92% (-0.197 -0.2)
3-2 @ 1.84% (-0.151 -0.15)
3-0 @ 1% (-0.123 -0.12)
Other @ 2.01%
Total : 20.44%
1-1 @ 10.33% (-0.15 -0.15)
2-2 @ 5.24% (-0.196 -0.2)
0-0 @ 5.1% (0.046 0.05)
3-3 @ 1.18% (-0.072 -0.07)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 22.01%
1-2 @ 9.93% (0.051 0.05)
0-1 @ 9.79% (0.27 0.27)
0-2 @ 9.41% (0.431 0.43)
1-3 @ 6.36% (0.151 0.15)
0-3 @ 6.02% (0.384 0.38)
2-3 @ 3.35% (-0.06 -0.06)
1-4 @ 3.05% (0.128 0.13)
0-4 @ 2.89% (0.235 0.24)
2-4 @ 1.61% (0.002 0)
1-5 @ 1.17% (0.071 0.07)
0-5 @ 1.11% (0.109 0.11)
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 57.55%

How you voted: Exeter vs Peterborough

Exeter City
Draw
Peterborough United
Exeter City
18.5%
Draw
7.4%
Peterborough United
74.1%
27
Head to Head
Apr 10, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 41
Peterborough
3-1
Exeter
Hartridge (8' og.), Mason-Clark (41'), Clarke-Harris (70')
Harper (46')
Nov 12, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 18
Exeter
3-2
Peterborough
Dieng (28'), Nombe (86'), Brown (90+1')
Dec 4, 2018 7.15pm
Round of 32
Exeter
0-2
Peterborough

Ogbene (60'), Oates (84')
Toney (67'), Cummings (77')
Toney (60'), Maddison (70'), Woodyard (86')
Nov 9, 2013 3pm
Mar 5, 2011 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham35257358233582
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe351911561332868
3Wrexham36208850302068
4Charlton AthleticCharlton36189947311663
5Stockport CountyStockport361711852341862
6Bolton WanderersBolton36186125954560
7Huddersfield TownHuddersfield361771247331458
8Reading361610105145658
9Leyton Orient361651551371453
10Barnsley36157145051-152
11Blackpool36121595448651
12Stevenage36139143437-348
13Lincoln CityLincoln361210144845346
14Rotherham UnitedRotherham35128153941-244
15Wigan AthleticWigan351110143234-243
16Exeter CityExeter35127163950-1143
17Bristol Rovers36126183955-1642
18Mansfield TownMansfield36118174150-941
19Northampton TownNorthampton361011153653-1741
20Peterborough UnitedPeterborough35109165260-839
21Burton Albion36712173653-1733
22Crawley TownCrawley3679203866-2830
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge3678213560-2529
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury3677223460-2628


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