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League One
Peterborough United
League One | Gameweek 41
Apr 10, 2023 at 3pm UK
Weston Homes Stadium
Exeter City

Peterborough
3 - 1
Exeter

Hartridge (8' og.), Mason-Clark (41'), Clarke-Harris (70')
Kyprianou (85')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Harper (46')
Kite (5'), Caldwell (6'), Harper (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's League One clash between Peterborough United and Exeter City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Peterborough United

All competitions
Last Game: Shrewsbury 0-3 Peterborough
Friday, April 7 at 3pm in League One

Exeter City

All competitions
Last Game: Exeter 0-1 Bolton
Friday, April 7 at 3pm in League One

We said: Peterborough United 3-1 Exeter City

 With so much left to play for, Peterborough will need no further incentive to grab this game by the scruff of the neck. We are backing the hosts to dominate proceedings and get the job done in relatively routine fashion. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 54.64%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Exeter City had a probability of 22.19%.

The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.83%) and 2-0 (9.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.96%), while for a Exeter City win it was 0-1 (6.11%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-1 win for Peterborough United in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Peterborough United.

Result
Peterborough UnitedDrawExeter City
54.64% (1.03 1.03) 23.17% (-0.224 -0.22) 22.19% (-0.812 -0.81)
Both teams to score 54.37% (-0.32700000000001 -0.33)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.23% (0.07 0.07)45.77% (-0.075000000000003 -0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.91% (0.065999999999999 0.07)68.09% (-0.070999999999998 -0.07)
Peterborough United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.36% (0.392 0.39)16.64% (-0.398 -0.4)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.52% (0.703 0.7)46.48% (-0.709 -0.71)
Exeter City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.22% (-0.708 -0.71)34.78% (0.701 0.7)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.49% (-0.753 -0.75)71.51% (0.747 0.75)
Score Analysis
    Peterborough United 54.63%
    Exeter City 22.19%
    Draw 23.17%
Peterborough UnitedDrawExeter City
1-0 @ 10.37% (0.1 0.1)
2-1 @ 9.83% (0.041 0.04)
2-0 @ 9.31% (0.215 0.22)
3-1 @ 5.88% (0.101 0.1)
3-0 @ 5.56% (0.2 0.2)
3-2 @ 3.1% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-1 @ 2.63% (0.079 0.08)
4-0 @ 2.49% (0.121 0.12)
4-2 @ 1.39% (0.016 0.02)
5-1 @ 0.95% (0.041 0.04)
Other @ 3.12%
Total : 54.63%
1-1 @ 10.96% (-0.1 -0.1)
0-0 @ 5.79% (-0.018 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.19% (-0.078 -0.08)
3-3 @ 1.09% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 23.17%
0-1 @ 6.11% (-0.138 -0.14)
1-2 @ 5.79% (-0.166 -0.17)
0-2 @ 3.23% (-0.137 -0.14)
1-3 @ 2.04% (-0.099 -0.1)
2-3 @ 1.83% (-0.063 -0.06)
0-3 @ 1.14% (-0.071 -0.07)
Other @ 2.05%
Total : 22.19%

How you voted: Peterborough vs Exeter

Peterborough United
90.9%
Draw
0.0%
Exeter City
9.1%
11
Head to Head
Nov 12, 2022 3pm
Exeter
3-2
Peterborough
Dieng (28'), Nombe (86'), Brown (90+1')
Dieng (55')
Clarke-Harris (40'), Mason-Clark (81')
Dec 4, 2018 7.15pm
Round of 32
Exeter
0-2
Peterborough

Ogbene (60'), Oates (84')
Toney (67'), Cummings (77')
Toney (60'), Maddison (70'), Woodyard (86')
Nov 9, 2013 3pm
Round One
Peterborough
2-0
Exeter
Assombalonga (72'), Mendez-Laing (79')
Assombalonga (37'), Ephraim (68')

Doherty (23')
Mar 5, 2011 3pm
Peterborough
3-0
Exeter
Boyd (10', 74'), Mackail-Smith (87')
Sep 18, 2010 3pm
Exeter
2-2
Peterborough
Nardiello (54'), Cureton (71')
Jones (46')
Archibald-Henville (29' og.)
Mackail-Smith (16')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wrexham7511146816
2Birmingham CityBirmingham6510136716
3Barnsley74121210213
4Charlton AthleticCharlton741275213
5Huddersfield TownHuddersfield7403118312
6Lincoln CityLincoln6321106411
7Stockport CountyStockport6321106411
8Peterborough UnitedPeterborough73221211111
9Blackpool73221313011
10Mansfield TownMansfield63211111011
11Wycombe WanderersWycombe63121210210
12Exeter CityExeter63038629
13Northampton TownNorthampton62228718
14Wigan AthleticWigan72236518
15Stevenage72235508
16Leyton Orient7214911-27
17Reading6213710-37
18Crawley TownCrawley621358-37
19Bolton WanderersBolton6213711-47
20Bristol Rovers7214611-57
21Rotherham UnitedRotherham713359-46
22Burton Albion6042810-24
23Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury7106512-73
24Cambridge UnitedCambridge6015613-71
> League One Full Table


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