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League One | Gameweek 26
Jan 1, 2024 at 3pm UK
Pride Park Stadium
Peterborough United

Derby
2 - 3
Peterborough

Collins (1', 60')
Forsyth (41')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Burrows (9'), Poku (84'), Jade-Jones (90+4')
Kyprianou (30')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's League One clash between Derby County and Peterborough United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Derby County

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Oxford Utd 2-3 Derby
Friday, December 29 at 7.45pm in League One

Peterborough United

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Peterborough 2-2 Barnsley
Friday, December 29 at 7.45pm in League One

We said: Derby County 2-1 Peterborough United

 With both teams sitting level on 46 points, we expect Monday's contest to be a close-fought affair, but we think that Derby may do just enough to claim the spoils after winning five of their last six home league games. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 44.37%. A win for Peterborough United had a probability of 31.85% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.86%) and 2-0 (6.58%). The likeliest Peterborough United win was 1-2 (7.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.88%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood.

Result
Derby CountyDrawPeterborough United
44.37% (-0.081000000000003 -0.08) 23.77% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01) 31.85% (0.091000000000001 0.09)
Both teams to score 60.89% (0.080999999999996 0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.96% (0.085000000000001 0.09)41.04% (-0.082999999999998 -0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.57% (0.087000000000003 0.09)63.43% (-0.085000000000001 -0.09)
Derby County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.22% (0.0010000000000048 0)18.77% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.82% (0.0020000000000024 0)50.17% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Peterborough United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.96% (0.097999999999999 0.1)25.03% (-0.096 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.29% (0.133 0.13)59.7% (-0.131 -0.13)
Score Analysis
    Derby County 44.37%
    Peterborough United 31.85%
    Draw 23.77%
Derby CountyDrawPeterborough United
2-1 @ 9.11% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-0 @ 7.86% (-0.03 -0.03)
2-0 @ 6.58% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
3-1 @ 5.08% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-0 @ 3.67% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.52% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.12% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-0 @ 1.53% (-0.006 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.47% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 3.44%
Total : 44.37%
1-1 @ 10.88% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 6.31% (0.011 0.01)
0-0 @ 4.7% (-0.018 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.62% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 23.77%
1-2 @ 7.54% (0.013 0.01)
0-1 @ 6.51% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-2 @ 4.51% (0.008 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.48% (0.015 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.91% (0.013 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.08% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.21% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.01% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 31.85%

How you voted: Derby vs Peterborough

Derby County
70.8%
Draw
16.7%
Peterborough United
12.5%
24
Head to Head
Aug 26, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 5
Peterborough
2-4
Derby
Clarke-Harris (23'), Poku (90')
Burrows (38'), Ferguson (39'), Kioso (67')
Ferguson (0')
Waghorn (29', 39', 45'), Cashin (37')
Forsyth (86')
Mar 25, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 38
Peterborough
2-0
Derby
Mason-Clark (52'), Ogbeta (83')
> Preview
Aug 27, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 6
Derby
2-1
Peterborough
Knight (88'), McGoldrick (90+2')
Stearman (64')
Knight (69')
Taylor (26'), Thompson (30'), Burrows (41')
Thompson (56')
Feb 19, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 33
Derby
1-0
Peterborough
Sibley (90+2')
Byrne (76'), Davies (80'), Sibley (90+3'), Allsop (90+4'), Morrison (90+7')
Lawrence (47')

Coulson (31'), Brown (59'), Jade-Jones (70'), Thompson (76'), Knight (87')
Coulson (35')
> Preview
Aug 14, 2021 12.30pm
Gameweek 2
Peterborough
2-1
Derby
Burrows (90+1'), Dembele (90+9')
Beevers (25'), Thompson (63'), Butler (83'), Dembele (90+9')
Stretton (77')
Sibley (90+1'), Forsyth (90+3')
> Match Report
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe1392231161529
2Birmingham CityBirmingham1292123111229
3Wrexham1374221101125
4Mansfield TownMansfield127322014624
5Lincoln CityLincoln137332016424
6Bolton WanderersBolton137242219323
7Huddersfield TownHuddersfield137151912722
8Barnsley136432118322
9Reading137152120122
10Stockport CountyStockport145632017321
11Exeter CityExeter126151310319
12Charlton AthleticCharlton135441514119
13Peterborough UnitedPeterborough145362526-118
14Rotherham UnitedRotherham144551416-217
15Stevenage145271015-517
16Blackpool134452125-416
17Bristol Rovers135171520-516
18Northampton TownNorthampton134361720-315
19Wigan AthleticWigan133551211114
20Leyton Orient133281118-711
21Crawley TownCrawley143291225-1311
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge123181117-610
23Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1422101325-128
24Burton Albion130581325-125
> League One Full Table


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