League One

League One | Gameweek 26

Jan 1, 2024 at 3pm UK

Pride Park Stadium

Derby
2 - 3
Peterborough

Collins (1', 60')
Forsyth (41')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Burrows (9'), Poku (84'), Jade-Jones (90+4')
Kyprianou (30')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's League One clash between Derby County and Peterborough United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Derby County

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Oxford Utd 2-3 Derby
Friday, December 29 at 7.45pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Peterborough United

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Peterborough 2-2 Barnsley
Friday, December 29 at 7.45pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Derby County 2-1 Peterborough United

With both teams sitting level on 46 points, we expect Monday's contest to be a close-fought affair, but we think that Derby may do just enough to claim the spoils after winning five of their last six home league games. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 44.37%. A win for Peterborough United had a probability of 31.85% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.86%) and 2-0 (6.58%). The likeliest Peterborough United win was 1-2 (7.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.88%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood.

Result
Derby County	Draw	Peterborough United
44.37% ( -0.08)	23.77% ( -0.01)	31.85% ( 0.09)

Both teams to score 60.89% (

0.08)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.96% (

0.09)

41.04% (

-0.08)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.57% (

0.09)

63.43% (

-0.09)

Derby County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.22% (

18.77% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.82% (

50.17% (

Peterborough United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.96% (

0.1)

25.03% (

-0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.29% (

0.13)

59.7% (

-0.13)

Score Analysis

Derby County 44.37%

Peterborough United 31.85%

Draw 23.77%

Derby County	Draw	Peterborough United
2-1 @ 9.11% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 7.86% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 6.58% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 5.08% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.67% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 3.52% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.12% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.53% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.47% ( 0) Other @ 3.44% Total : 44.37%	1-1 @ 10.88% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.31% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 4.7% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.62% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.26% Total : 23.77%	1-2 @ 7.54% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 6.51% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 4.51% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 3.48% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.91% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.08% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.21% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.01% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.62% Total : 31.85%