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League One | Gameweek 36
Mar 2, 2024 at 3pm UK
University of Bolton Stadium
Cambridge United

Bolton
2 - 0
Cambridge

Thomason (35'), Collins (66')
Adeboyejo (28'), Cogley (46'), Thomason (70'), Dempsey (82')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Kaikai (41'), Morrison (66')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Bolton Wanderers and Cambridge United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Wigan 1-0 Bolton
Tuesday, February 27 at 8.15pm in League One
Last Game: Stevenage 1-0 Cambridge
Tuesday, February 27 at 8pm in League One

We said: Bolton Wanderers 1-0 Cambridge United

Bolton appear to be struggling for goals since Charles's knee injury, while Cambridge have failed to score in both matches under Corr's caretaker management. The Trotters edged it 2-1 when these sides met last month, and we are predicting another narrow victory for the hosts ahead of a crucial promotion clash against Barnsley in midweek. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 64.52%. A draw had a probability of 19.5% and a win for Cambridge United had a probability of 15.93%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.89%) and 1-0 (9.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.1%), while for a Cambridge United win it was 1-2 (4.46%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Bolton Wanderers in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Bolton Wanderers.

Result
Bolton WanderersDrawCambridge United
64.52% (-0.037999999999997 -0.04) 19.54% (0.0060000000000002 0.01) 15.93% (0.029 0.03)
Both teams to score 55.38% (0.056000000000004 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.02% (0.036000000000001 0.04)38.98% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.7% (0.040999999999997 0.04)61.3% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)
Bolton Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.6% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)11.39% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.86% (0.0010000000000048 0)36.14% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Cambridge United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.5% (0.060000000000002 0.06)37.5% (-0.065999999999995 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.72% (0.058 0.06)74.28% (-0.064999999999998 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    Bolton Wanderers 64.51%
    Cambridge United 15.93%
    Draw 19.54%
Bolton WanderersDrawCambridge United
2-0 @ 10.07% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 9.89%
1-0 @ 9.28% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
3-0 @ 7.3% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-1 @ 7.16% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-0 @ 3.96% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
4-1 @ 3.89%
3-2 @ 3.51% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.91% (0.004 0)
5-0 @ 1.72% (-0.002 -0)
5-1 @ 1.69% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 4.15%
Total : 64.51%
1-1 @ 9.1% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-2 @ 4.85% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
0-0 @ 4.27% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.15% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 19.54%
1-2 @ 4.46% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
0-1 @ 4.19% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-2 @ 2.06% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 1.59% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-3 @ 1.46% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 15.93%

How you voted: Bolton vs Cambridge

Bolton Wanderers
Draw
Cambridge United
Bolton Wanderers
85.0%
Draw
15.0%
Cambridge United
0.0%
20
Head to Head
Feb 20, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 18
Cambridge
1-2
Bolton
Toal (8' og.)
Cousins (40'), Kachunga (41'), Morrison (63')
Taylor (90+1')
Maghoma (52'), Mendes Gomes (63')
Sheehan (22'), Iredale (90+1')
Apr 10, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 41
Bolton
1-1
Cambridge
John (67')
Smith (90+5')
Nov 12, 2022 3pm
Feb 1, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 27
Bolton
2-0
Cambridge
Bakayoko (39'), Afolayan (70')
Williams (87')

Mitov (42')
Aug 28, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 5
Cambridge
1-0
Bolton
Tracey (16')
Iredale (17'), Digby (38'), Hoolahan (54'), O'Neil (73')

Williams (13'), Sarcevic (29'), Santos (88')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham35257358233582
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe351911561332868
3Wrexham36208850302068
4Charlton AthleticCharlton36189947311663
5Stockport CountyStockport361711852341862
6Bolton WanderersBolton36186125954560
7Huddersfield TownHuddersfield361771247331458
8Reading361610105145658
9Leyton Orient361651551371453
10Barnsley36157145051-152
11Blackpool36121595448651
12Stevenage36139143437-348
13Lincoln CityLincoln361210144845346
14Rotherham UnitedRotherham35128153941-244
15Wigan AthleticWigan351110143234-243
16Exeter CityExeter35127163950-1143
17Bristol Rovers36126183955-1642
18Mansfield TownMansfield36118174150-941
19Northampton TownNorthampton361011153653-1741
20Peterborough UnitedPeterborough35109165260-839
21Burton Albion36712173653-1733
22Crawley TownCrawley3679203866-2830
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge3678213560-2529
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury3677223460-2628


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