League One

League One | Gameweek 34

Feb 17, 2024 at 3pm UK

Brunton Park

Carlisle
0 - 4
Cambridge

Mellish (45+4'), Butterworth (68')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Kaikai (14'), Lavelle (69' og.), Kachunga (72'), Bennett (83')
Taylor (45+4')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Carlisle United and Cambridge United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Carlisle United

All competitions

Last Game: Carlisle 0-1 Portsmouth
Saturday, February 10 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Cambridge United

All competitions

Last Game: Portsmouth 3-1 Cambridge
Tuesday, February 13 at 7.45pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Carlisle United 1-1 Cambridge United

While Carlisle have lost four of their last five home games, it is worth pointing out that three of those defeats were against teams in the top six this season. With just two wins on the road, Cambridge's away record is far from solid and we feel that they will have to settle for a share of the spoils in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Carlisle United win with a probability of 41.03%. A win for Cambridge United has a probability of 32.5% and a draw has a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.65%) and 2-0 (7.25%). The likeliest Cambridge United win is 0-1 (9.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.58%).

Result
Carlisle United	Draw	Cambridge United
41.03% ( -0.37)	26.47% ( -0.2)	32.5% ( 0.56)

Both teams to score 52.01% (

0.8)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.29% (

0.94)

52.7% (

-0.95)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.65% (

0.8)

74.34% (

-0.8)

Carlisle United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.68% (

0.23)

25.32% (

-0.24)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.9% (

0.32)

60.09% (

-0.33)

Cambridge United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.64% (

0.86)

30.36% (

-0.86)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.45% (

1.01)

66.54% (

-1.01)

Score Analysis

Carlisle United 41.03%

Cambridge United 32.5%

Draw 26.46%

Carlisle United	Draw	Cambridge United
1-0 @ 10.55% ( -0.33) 2-1 @ 8.65% ( 0) 2-0 @ 7.25% ( -0.17) 3-1 @ 3.96% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 3.32% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 2.36% ( 0.07) 4-1 @ 1.36% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.14% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.44% Total : 41.03%	1-1 @ 12.58% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 7.69% ( -0.29) 2-2 @ 5.15% ( 0.12) 3-3 @ 0.94% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.46%	0-1 @ 9.16% ( -0.13) 1-2 @ 7.5% ( 0.13) 0-2 @ 5.46% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 2.98% ( 0.12) 0-3 @ 2.17% ( 0.07) 2-3 @ 2.05% ( 0.1) Other @ 3.17% Total : 32.5%