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Carlisle United
League One | Gameweek 34
Feb 17, 2024 at 3pm UK
Brunton Park
Cambridge United

Carlisle
0 - 4
Cambridge


Mellish (45+4'), Butterworth (68')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Kaikai (14'), Lavelle (69' og.), Kachunga (72'), Bennett (83')
Taylor (45+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Carlisle United and Cambridge United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Carlisle 0-1 Portsmouth
Saturday, February 10 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Portsmouth 3-1 Cambridge
Tuesday, February 13 at 7.45pm in League One

We said: Carlisle United 1-1 Cambridge United

While Carlisle have lost four of their last five home games, it is worth pointing out that three of those defeats were against teams in the top six this season. With just two wins on the road, Cambridge's away record is far from solid and we feel that they will have to settle for a share of the spoils in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Carlisle United win with a probability of 41.03%. A win for Cambridge United has a probability of 32.5% and a draw has a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.65%) and 2-0 (7.25%). The likeliest Cambridge United win is 0-1 (9.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.58%).

Result
Carlisle UnitedDrawCambridge United
41.03% (-0.372 -0.37) 26.47% (-0.197 -0.2) 32.5% (0.563 0.56)
Both teams to score 52.01% (0.802 0.8)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.29% (0.941 0.94)52.7% (-0.947 -0.95)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.65% (0.8 0.8)74.34% (-0.804 -0.8)
Carlisle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.68% (0.232 0.23)25.32% (-0.238 -0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.9% (0.321 0.32)60.09% (-0.327 -0.33)
Cambridge United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.64% (0.85599999999999 0.86)30.36% (-0.86 -0.86)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.45% (1.01 1.01)66.54% (-1.014 -1.01)
Score Analysis
    Carlisle United 41.03%
    Cambridge United 32.5%
    Draw 26.46%
Carlisle UnitedDrawCambridge United
1-0 @ 10.55% (-0.33 -0.33)
2-1 @ 8.65% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 7.25% (-0.174 -0.17)
3-1 @ 3.96% (0.027 0.03)
3-0 @ 3.32% (-0.057 -0.06)
3-2 @ 2.36% (0.071 0.07)
4-1 @ 1.36% (0.018 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.14% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 41.03%
1-1 @ 12.58% (-0.09 -0.09)
0-0 @ 7.69% (-0.291 -0.29)
2-2 @ 5.15% (0.121 0.12)
3-3 @ 0.94% (0.05 0.05)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.46%
0-1 @ 9.16% (-0.125 -0.13)
1-2 @ 7.5% (0.126 0.13)
0-2 @ 5.46% (0.056 0.06)
1-3 @ 2.98% (0.118 0.12)
0-3 @ 2.17% (0.072 0.07)
2-3 @ 2.05% (0.095 0.1)
Other @ 3.17%
Total : 32.5%

Head to Head
Oct 28, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 16
Cambridge
1-0
Carlisle
Thomas (73')
Lankester (30'), Bennett (37')

Armer (47')
Armer (83'), McCalmont (90+2')
Mar 27, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 38
Carlisle
1-2
Cambridge
Alessandra (78')
Hayden (24'), Furman (28'), Zanzala (68')
Mullin (45+2'), May (90')
Sep 12, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 1
Cambridge
3-0
Carlisle
Hannant (9'), Mullin (16'), Ironside (86')
Digby (45+3')

Patrick (45+3'), Guy (76'), Toure (88'), Mellish (89')
Feb 29, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 36
Cambridge
1-2
Carlisle
Lambe (82')
Roles (78')
Alessandra (27'), Anderton (73')
Hayden (59'), Webster (64'), McKirdy (80'), Charters (89'), Olomola (90')
Nov 23, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 19
Carlisle
0-0
Cambridge
Loft (29'), Carroll (70')
Hannant (26'), Lewis (39'), Smith (83')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe15112235181735
2Wrexham1694325111431
3Stockport CountyStockport1786329171230
4Birmingham CityBirmingham1493226151130
5Huddersfield TownHuddersfield158252315826
6Barnsley167542420426
7Lincoln CityLincoln167542320326
8Reading158252422226
9Bolton WanderersBolton158252425-126
10Mansfield TownMansfield147342016424
11Exeter CityExeter157261413123
12Peterborough UnitedPeterborough166373229321
13Bristol Rovers166371721-421
14Charlton AthleticCharlton155461617-119
15Stevenage165471116-519
16Northampton TownNorthampton164661821-318
17Wigan AthleticWigan154561312117
18Rotherham UnitedRotherham164571419-517
19Blackpool164572230-817
20Crawley TownCrawley174491527-1216
21Leyton Orient154381418-415
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge153391324-1112
23Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1632111629-1311
24Burton Albion151591528-138


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