League One

League One | Gameweek 16

Oct 28, 2023 at 3pm UK

Abbey Stadium

Cambridge
1 - 0
Carlisle

Thomas (73')
Lankester (30'), Bennett (37')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Armer (47')
Armer (83'), McCalmont (90+2')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Cambridge United and Carlisle United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cambridge United

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Cambridge 0-0 Portsmouth
Tuesday, October 24 at 7.45pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Carlisle United

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Carlisle 2-1 Burton Albion
Tuesday, October 24 at 7.45pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Cambridge United 1-1 Carlisle United

A draw could be on the cards in Cambridge, as the hosts have not pulled up trees in recent home games, while Carlisle have claimed one victory in their last five away fixtures. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cambridge United win with a probability of 36.53%. A win for Carlisle United had a probability of 36.34% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cambridge United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8%) and 2-0 (6.46%). The likeliest Carlisle United win was 0-1 (10.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Cambridge United in this match.

Result
Cambridge United	Draw	Carlisle United
36.53% ( -0.11)	27.13% ( 0)	36.34% ( 0.11)

Both teams to score 50.51% (

-0)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.12% (

-0.01)

54.88% (

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.82% (

-0)

76.17% (

Cambridge United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.12% (

-0.07)

28.87% (

0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.26% (

-0.09)

64.74% (

0.08)

Carlisle United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.01% (

0.06)

28.99% (

-0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.11% (

0.07)

64.88% (

-0.08)

Score Analysis

Cambridge United 36.52%

Carlisle United 36.34%

Draw 27.12%

Cambridge United	Draw	Carlisle United
1-0 @ 10.39% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 8% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 6.46% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 3.31% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 2.67% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.05% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.03% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.61% Total : 36.52%	1-1 @ 12.87% 0-0 @ 8.37% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.95% Other @ 0.93% Total : 27.12%	0-1 @ 10.36% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 7.97% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 6.42% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 3.29% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.65% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.04% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.02% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.58% Total : 36.34%