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Championship header 2

League One
Cambridge United
League One | Gameweek 16
Oct 28, 2023 at 3pm UK
Abbey Stadium
Carlisle United

Cambridge
1 - 0
Carlisle

Thomas (73')
Lankester (30'), Bennett (37')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Armer (47')
Armer (83'), McCalmont (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Cambridge United and Carlisle United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cambridge United

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Cambridge 0-0 Portsmouth
Tuesday, October 24 at 7.45pm in League One

Carlisle United

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Carlisle 2-1 Burton Albion
Tuesday, October 24 at 7.45pm in League One

We said: Cambridge United 1-1 Carlisle United

 A draw could be on the cards in Cambridge, as the hosts have not pulled up trees in recent home games, while Carlisle have claimed one victory in their last five away fixtures. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cambridge United win with a probability of 36.53%. A win for Carlisle United had a probability of 36.34% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cambridge United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8%) and 2-0 (6.46%). The likeliest Carlisle United win was 0-1 (10.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Cambridge United in this match.

Result
Cambridge UnitedDrawCarlisle United
36.53% (-0.108 -0.11) 27.13% (0.0030000000000001 0) 36.34% (0.105 0.11)
Both teams to score 50.51% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.12% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)54.88% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.82% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)76.17% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Cambridge United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.12% (-0.069999999999993 -0.07)28.87% (0.068000000000001 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.26% (-0.085000000000001 -0.09)64.74% (0.084000000000003 0.08)
Carlisle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.01% (0.062000000000012 0.06)28.99% (-0.062999999999999 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.11% (0.073999999999998 0.07)64.88% (-0.076000000000008 -0.08)
Score Analysis
    Cambridge United 36.52%
    Carlisle United 36.34%
    Draw 27.12%
Cambridge UnitedDrawCarlisle United
1-0 @ 10.39% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 8% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
2-0 @ 6.46% (-0.023 -0.02)
3-1 @ 3.31% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.67% (-0.015 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.05% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.03% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 36.52%
1-1 @ 12.87%
0-0 @ 8.37% (0.0019999999999989 0)
2-2 @ 4.95%
Other @ 0.93%
Total : 27.12%
0-1 @ 10.36% (0.02 0.02)
1-2 @ 7.97% (0.014 0.01)
0-2 @ 6.42% (0.023 0.02)
1-3 @ 3.29% (0.012 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.65% (0.014 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.04% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-4 @ 1.02% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 36.34%

How you voted: Cambridge vs Carlisle

Cambridge United
57.1%
Draw
28.6%
Carlisle United
14.3%
7
Head to Head
Mar 27, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 38
Carlisle
1-2
Cambridge
Alessandra (78')
Hayden (24'), Furman (28'), Zanzala (68')
Mullin (45+2'), May (90')
Sep 12, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 1
Cambridge
3-0
Carlisle
Hannant (9'), Mullin (16'), Ironside (86')
Digby (45+3')

Patrick (45+3'), Guy (76'), Toure (88'), Mellish (89')
Feb 29, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 36
Cambridge
1-2
Carlisle
Lambe (82')
Roles (78')
Alessandra (27'), Anderton (73')
Hayden (59'), Webster (64'), McKirdy (80'), Charters (89'), Olomola (90')
Nov 23, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 19
Carlisle
0-0
Cambridge
Loft (29'), Carroll (70')
Hannant (26'), Lewis (39'), Smith (83')
Mar 23, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 39
Carlisle
2-2
Cambridge
Devitt (37'), Thomas (45')
Jones (50'), Grainger (81')
Hepburn-Murphy (3'), Ibehre (68')
rhs 2.0
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> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe15112235181735
2Wrexham1694325111431
3Stockport CountyStockport1786329171230
4Birmingham CityBirmingham1493226151130
5Huddersfield TownHuddersfield158252315826
6Barnsley167542420426
7Lincoln CityLincoln167542320326
8Reading158252422226
9Bolton WanderersBolton158252425-126
10Mansfield TownMansfield147342016424
11Exeter CityExeter157261413123
12Peterborough UnitedPeterborough166373229321
13Bristol Rovers166371721-421
14Charlton AthleticCharlton155461617-119
15Stevenage165471116-519
16Northampton TownNorthampton164661821-318
17Wigan AthleticWigan154561312117
18Rotherham UnitedRotherham164571419-517
19Blackpool164572230-817
20Crawley TownCrawley174491527-1216
21Leyton Orient154381418-415
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge153391324-1112
23Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1632111629-1311
24Burton Albion151591528-138
> League One Full Table


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