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League One
Carlisle United
League One | Gameweek 13
Oct 14, 2023 at 3pm UK
Brunton Park
Leyton Orient

Carlisle
0 - 1
Leyton Orient

FT(HT: 0-1)
Sotiriou (21')
Brown (38'), Turns (75'), El Mizouni (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Carlisle United and Leyton Orient, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Carlisle United

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Carlisle 0-2 Forest U21s
Tuesday, October 10 at 7pm in EFL Trophy

Leyton Orient

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Leyton Orient 2-1 Reading
Saturday, October 7 at 3pm in League One

We said: Carlisle United 1-2 Leyton Orient

 Carlisle have only won one of their last four matches against Orient, and as mentioned, were beaten in both games in League Two last season. We are expecting Saturday's fixture to be close in terms of the general play and scoreline but are backing Orient to navigate their way to all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 39.12%. A win for Leyton Orient had a probability of 33.41% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.24%) and 2-0 (7.16%). The likeliest Leyton Orient win was 0-1 (10.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.99%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Leyton Orient would win this match.

Result
Carlisle UnitedDrawLeyton Orient
39.12% (-0.073999999999998 -0.07) 27.47% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01) 33.41% (0.087999999999994 0.09)
Both teams to score 49.13% (0.053999999999995 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.53% (0.062999999999995 0.06)56.48% (-0.062000000000005 -0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.53% (0.047999999999998 0.05)77.48% (-0.049000000000007 -0.05)
Carlisle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.88% (-0.01400000000001 -0.01)28.12% (0.012999999999998 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.2% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)63.8% (0.017000000000003 0.02)
Leyton Orient Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.35% (0.088000000000008 0.09)31.65% (-0.088000000000001 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.94% (0.103 0.1)68.06% (-0.10300000000001 -0.1)
Score Analysis
    Carlisle United 39.12%
    Leyton Orient 33.41%
    Draw 27.47%
Carlisle UnitedDrawLeyton Orient
1-0 @ 11.29% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
2-1 @ 8.24% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
2-0 @ 7.16% (-0.021999999999999 -0.02)
3-1 @ 3.48% (-0.004 -0)
3-0 @ 3.03% (-0.01 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 1.11% (-0.002 -0)
4-0 @ 0.96% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 1.84%
Total : 39.12%
1-1 @ 12.99%
0-0 @ 8.9% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.74% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 0.84%
Total : 27.47%
0-1 @ 10.24% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 7.47% (0.017 0.02)
0-2 @ 5.89% (0.015 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.87% (0.013 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.26% (0.012 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.82% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 33.41%

How you voted: Carlisle vs Leyton Orient

Carlisle United
16.0%
Draw
36.0%
Leyton Orient
48.0%
25
Head to Head
Apr 1, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 39
Leyton Orient
1-0
Carlisle
Mellish (73' og.)
Oct 22, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 16
Carlisle
2-3
Leyton Orient
Edmondson (15'), Gibson (56')
Archibald (2', 17'), Drinan (50')
Feb 26, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 34
Leyton Orient
0-1
Carlisle

Beckles (10'), Archibald (48')
Archibald (50')
Patrick (5')
Armer (52'), Riley (58'), Whelan (70'), Simeu (76')
Aug 21, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 4
Carlisle
1-1
Leyton Orient
Abrahams (9' pen.)
Smith (74')
Sweeney (17'), Smith (55'), Drinan (61'), Kyprianou (65'), Clay (90+2')
May 1, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 45
Leyton Orient
2-3
Carlisle
Wilkinson (3'), Kemp (45+3')
Happe (18'), Dennis (62'), Clay (89')
Mellish (42'), Alessandra (54' pen.), Tanner (90+1')
Walker (80'), Mellish (89')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe14102232161632
2Birmingham CityBirmingham1393124121230
3Wrexham1484222101228
4Barnsley147432318525
5Lincoln CityLincoln147432117425
6Stockport CountyStockport156632517824
7Mansfield TownMansfield137332015524
8Huddersfield TownHuddersfield147252114723
9Reading147252221123
10Bolton WanderersBolton147252224-223
11Exeter CityExeter137151410422
12Peterborough UnitedPeterborough156363127421
13Charlton AthleticCharlton145451515019
14Stevenage155371116-518
15Rotherham UnitedRotherham154561418-417
16Bristol Rovers145271621-517
17Northampton TownNorthampton144461821-316
18Blackpool144462128-716
19Wigan AthleticWigan143561212014
20Leyton Orient144281418-414
21Crawley TownCrawley153391427-1312
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge133191223-1110
23Burton Albion141581525-108
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1522111327-148
> League One Full Table


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