Carlisle1 - 1Peterborough
Form, Standings, Stats
Saturday, September 30 at 3pm in League One
Saturday, September 30 at 3pm in League One
We said: Carlisle United 0-2 Peterborough United
Peterborough have taken only two points from their last three games, but we expect them to better that tally on Tuesday alone by beating Carlisle. Simpson's side look like they may be lacking quality in order to survive at this level, but they will continue to fight hard and will not make things easy for their opponents. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 43.32%. A win for Carlisle United had a probability of 31.78% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.04%) and 0-2 (7.03%). The likeliest Carlisle United win was 1-0 (7.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.72%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Peterborough United in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Peterborough United.
| Result | ||
| Carlisle United | Draw | Peterborough United |
31.78% ( -0.45) | 24.9% ( -0.2) | 43.32% ( 0.65) |
| Both teams to score 56.9% ( 0.5) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.75% ( 0.73) | 46.25% ( -0.72) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.46% ( 0.68) | 68.55% ( -0.68) |
| Carlisle United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.38% ( 0.07) | 27.63% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 36.84% ( 0.09) | 63.16% ( -0.09) |
| Peterborough United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.62% ( 0.61) | 21.38% ( -0.61) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 45.64% ( 0.93) | 54.36% ( -0.93) |
| Score Analysis |
| Carlisle United | Draw | Peterborough United |
| 1-0 @ 7.6% ( -0.22) 2-1 @ 7.54% ( -0.06)2-0 @ 4.89% ( -0.13)3-1 @ 3.23% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.49% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 2.1% ( -0.05)4-1 @ 1.04% ( -0)Other @ 2.89% Total : 31.78% | 1-1 @ 11.72% ( -0.12) 0-0 @ 5.91% ( -0.18)2-2 @ 5.82% ( 0.06)3-3 @ 1.28% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.9% | 0-1 @ 9.11% ( -0.11) 1-2 @ 9.04% ( 0.07)0-2 @ 7.03% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 4.65% ( 0.12)0-3 @ 3.61% ( 0.09)2-3 @ 2.99% ( 0.08)1-4 @ 1.79% ( 0.08)0-4 @ 1.39% ( 0.06)2-4 @ 1.15% ( 0.05)Other @ 2.55% Total : 43.32% |
