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Port Vale
League One | Gameweek 5
Aug 26, 2023 at 3pm UK
Vale Park
Carlisle United

Port Vale
1 - 0
Carlisle

Wilson (50' pen.)
FT(HT: 0-0)
Coverage of the League One clash between Port Vale and Carlisle United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 39.3%. A win for Port Vale had a probability of 32.51% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.08%) and 0-2 (7.43%). The likeliest Port Vale win was 1-0 (10.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood.

Result
Port ValeDrawCarlisle United
32.51% (0.00099999999999767 0) 28.19% (-0.032999999999998 -0.03) 39.3% (0.030999999999999 0.03)
Both teams to score 46.82% (0.092999999999996 0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.72% (0.11499999999999 0.11)59.28% (-0.115 -0.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.32% (0.088000000000001 0.09)79.68% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09)
Port Vale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.29% (0.062000000000012 0.06)33.71% (-0.064 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.63% (0.068000000000001 0.07)70.37% (-0.069000000000003 -0.07)
Carlisle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.63% (0.072999999999993 0.07)29.37% (-0.073 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.64% (0.090000000000003 0.09)65.36% (-0.090999999999994 -0.09)
Score Analysis
    Port Vale 32.5%
    Carlisle United 39.29%
    Draw 28.19%
Port ValeDrawCarlisle United
1-0 @ 10.76% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-1 @ 7.17% (0.008 0.01)
2-0 @ 5.85% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-1 @ 2.6% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.12% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 1.59% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 32.5%
1-1 @ 13.19%
0-0 @ 9.9% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
2-2 @ 4.39% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 0.71%
Total : 28.19%
0-1 @ 12.13% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
1-2 @ 8.08% (0.012 0.01)
0-2 @ 7.43% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-3 @ 3.3% (0.011 0.01)
0-3 @ 3.03% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 1.79% (0.01 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.01% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
0-4 @ 0.93% (0.003 0)
Other @ 1.59%
Total : 39.29%

Head to Head
Feb 8, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 31
Carlisle
1-3
Port Vale
Windsor (21')
Worrall (1'), Wilson (43'), Amoo (81')
Aug 17, 2021 7.45pm
Apr 17, 2021 12.30pm
Gameweek 42
Carlisle
0-0
Port Vale
Toure (86')
Worrall (52')
Oct 10, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 5
Port Vale
0-1
Carlisle

Crookes (20'), Whitehead (41'), Montano (90+2')
Mellish (55')
Alessandra (42')
Apr 4, 2020 3pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe14102232161632
2Birmingham CityBirmingham1393124121230
3Wrexham1484222101228
4Barnsley147432318525
5Lincoln CityLincoln147432117425
6Stockport CountyStockport156632517824
7Mansfield TownMansfield137332015524
8Huddersfield TownHuddersfield147252114723
9Reading147252221123
10Bolton WanderersBolton147252224-223
11Exeter CityExeter137151410422
12Peterborough UnitedPeterborough156363127421
13Charlton AthleticCharlton145451515019
14Stevenage155371116-518
15Rotherham UnitedRotherham154561418-417
16Bristol Rovers145271621-517
17Northampton TownNorthampton144461821-316
18Blackpool144462128-716
19Wigan AthleticWigan143561212014
20Leyton Orient144281418-414
21Crawley TownCrawley153391427-1312
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge133191223-1110
23Burton Albion141581525-108
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1522111327-148


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