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League One
Port Vale
League One | Gameweek 46
May 7, 2023 at 12pm UK
Vale Park
Plymouth Argyle

Port Vale
1 - 3
Plymouth

Plant (3')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Randell (34'), Edwards (38'), Azaz (61')
Azaz (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's League One clash between Port Vale and Plymouth Argyle, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Port Vale

All competitions
Last Game: Charlton 3-2 Port Vale
Saturday, April 29 at 3pm in League One

Plymouth Argyle

All competitions
Last Game: Plymouth 1-0 Burton Albion
Saturday, April 29 at 3pm in League One

We said: Port Vale 0-2 Plymouth Argyle

 Port Vale have been devoid of confidence and any momentum in recent months, while their visitors have shone throughout the entire season and have their sights set on the title and the 100-point mark, and we see the Pilgrims scoring a relatively comfortable victory as a result. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Plymouth Argyle win with a probability of 41.27%. A win for Port Vale had a probability of 32.47% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Plymouth Argyle win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.7%) and 0-2 (7.22%). The likeliest Port Vale win was 1-0 (8.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Plymouth Argyle would win this match.

Result
Port ValeDrawPlymouth Argyle
32.47% (0.058 0.06) 26.26% (0.016000000000002 0.02) 41.27% (-0.068999999999996 -0.07)
Both teams to score 52.65% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.12% (-0.052 -0.05)51.88% (0.058 0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.37% (-0.044999999999998 -0.04)73.63% (0.051000000000002 0.05)
Port Vale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.04% (0.010999999999996 0.01)29.97% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.93% (0.013999999999996 0.01)66.08% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Plymouth Argyle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.18% (-0.055999999999997 -0.06)24.82% (0.063000000000002 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.59% (-0.082999999999998 -0.08)59.41% (0.088999999999999 0.09)
Score Analysis
    Port Vale 32.47%
    Plymouth Argyle 41.27%
    Draw 26.26%
Port ValeDrawPlymouth Argyle
1-0 @ 8.96% (0.022 0.02)
2-1 @ 7.53% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
2-0 @ 5.4% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
3-1 @ 3.02% (0.004 0)
3-0 @ 2.17% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.11% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 0.91% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 32.47%
1-1 @ 12.49% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.44% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.24% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-3 @ 0.98% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.26%
0-1 @ 10.36% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 8.7% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-2 @ 7.22% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
1-3 @ 4.04% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-3 @ 3.35% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.44% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.41% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.17% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 41.27%

How you voted: Port Vale vs Plymouth

Port Vale
15.8%
Draw
5.3%
Plymouth Argyle
78.9%
19
Head to Head
Dec 2, 2022 7.45pm
gameweek 20
Plymouth
0-2
Port Vale
Conlon (65'), Wilson (71')
Stevens (56')
Apr 25, 2020 3pm
gameweek 46
Plymouth
P-P
Port Vale
Sep 14, 2019 3pm
gameweek 8
Port Vale
1-0
Plymouth
Smith (76')
Gibbons (6')

Mayor (43'), Canavan (47')
Jan 14, 2014 7.45pm
Third Round
Plymouth
2-3
Port Vale
Gurrieri (2'), Hourihane (36')
Hugill (30'), Williamson (63'), Myrie-Williams (75')
Dickinson (13'), Lines (74'), Neal (90'), Loft (90')
Lines (80')
> Match Report
Jan 5, 2014 3pm
Third Round
Port Vale
2-2
Plymouth
Tomlin (15'), Pope (36')
Tomlin (19'), Robertson (65')
Reid (51'), Purrington (74')
Gurrieri (13')
> Match Report
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham29216251193269
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe30179456312560
3Wrexham30177645252058
4Stockport CountyStockport32169749301957
5Huddersfield TownHuddersfield30157843271652
6Leyton Orient301551046271950
7Charlton AthleticCharlton31148940301050
8Bolton WanderersBolton31155115048250
9Reading31147104643349
10Barnsley31127124343043
11Blackpool3191484544141
12Stevenage30118112931-241
13Lincoln CityLincoln311010113838040
14Rotherham UnitedRotherham31108133537-238
15Mansfield TownMansfield30115143841-338
16Exeter CityExeter30105153446-1235
17Bristol Rovers30105153246-1435
18Wigan AthleticWigan2997132730-334
19Northampton TownNorthampton3189142947-1833
20Peterborough UnitedPeterborough3187164758-1131
21Crawley TownCrawley3077163454-2028
22Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury3176183353-2027
23Burton Albion31511153248-1626
24Cambridge UnitedCambridge3158183056-2623
> League One Full Table


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