League One | Gameweek 43
Apr 18, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Portman Road Stadium
Ipswich2 - 1Port Vale
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Ipswich 6-0 Charlton
Saturday, April 15 at 3pm in League One
Saturday, April 15 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Lincoln 3-2 Port Vale
Saturday, April 15 at 3pm in League One
Saturday, April 15 at 3pm in League One
We said: Ipswich Town 3-0 Port Vale
Ipswich have been in imperious form in recent weeks, and after winning their last six home games without conceding, we think that they will breeze past a Port Vale side that have lost their last two away matches. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ipswich Town win with a probability of 73.72%. A draw had a probability of 16.2% and a win for Port Vale had a probability of 10.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ipswich Town win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.77%) and 3-0 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.65%), while for a Port Vale win it was 0-1 (3.15%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ipswich Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Ipswich Town | Draw | Port Vale |
73.72% ( -0.05) | 16.18% ( 0.02) | 10.1% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 49.52% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.3% ( -0.04) | 37.7% ( 0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.05% ( -0.05) | 59.94% ( 0.05) |
| Ipswich Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.2% ( -0.02) | 8.8% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 69.82% ( -0.06) | 30.18% ( 0.06) |
| Port Vale Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54.3% ( 0.02) | 45.7% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 18.51% ( 0.02) | 81.48% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
Ipswich Town 73.71%
Port Vale 10.1%
Draw 16.18%
| Ipswich Town | Draw | Port Vale |
| 2-0 @ 11.87% 1-0 @ 9.77% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 9.62% ( -0.01)2-1 @ 9.3% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 7.54% ( -0)4-0 @ 5.85% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 4.58% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.95% 5-0 @ 2.84% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 2.23% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.79% ( -0)6-0 @ 1.15% ( -0.01)6-1 @ 0.9% ( -0)Other @ 3.31% Total : 73.71% | 1-1 @ 7.65% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 4.02% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 3.64% ( 0)Other @ 0.87% Total : 16.18% | 0-1 @ 3.15% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 3% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 1.23% ( 0)2-3 @ 0.95% ( 0)Other @ 1.77% Total : 10.1% |
How you voted: Ipswich vs Port Vale
Ipswich Town
97.0%Draw
0.0%Port Vale
3.0%33
Head to Head
Oct 25, 2022 7.45pm
Form Guide
