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Port Vale
League One | Gameweek 41
Apr 10, 2023 at 3pm UK
Vale Park
Oxford United

Port Vale
0 - 0
Oxford Utd


Massey (44'), Smith (45'), Benning (45+4'), Pett (60'), Worrall (74')
Politic (90+2')
FT

McGuane (58'), Joseph (74')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's League One clash between Port Vale and Oxford United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Accrington 3-0 Port Vale
Friday, April 7 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Oxford Utd 1-1 Sheff Weds
Friday, April 7 at 3pm in League One

We said: Port Vale 1-1 Oxford United

Oxford will be desperate to claim their first win since January, but having failed to win on their last four trips to Vale Park, we think that they will have to settle for a point on Monday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 36.57%. A win for Port Vale had a probability of 35.31% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.78%) and 0-2 (6.75%). The likeliest Port Vale win was 1-0 (11.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.19%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Port ValeDrawOxford United
35.31% (0.0069999999999979 0.01) 28.13%36.57% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Both teams to score 47.4% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.27% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)58.74% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.74% (-0.004999999999999 -0)79.26% (0.0039999999999907 0)
Port Vale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.45% (0.0040000000000049 0)31.55% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.05% (0.0030000000000001 0)67.95% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Oxford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.25% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)30.75% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.99% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)67.01% (0.007000000000005 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Port Vale 35.3%
    Oxford United 36.57%
    Draw 28.12%
Port ValeDrawOxford United
1-0 @ 11.19%
2-1 @ 7.61% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-0 @ 6.46% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 2.93%
3-0 @ 2.48% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-2 @ 1.73%
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 35.3%
1-1 @ 13.19%
0-0 @ 9.7% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-2 @ 4.49%
Other @ 0.74%
Total : 28.12%
0-1 @ 11.44%
1-2 @ 7.78% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-2 @ 6.75% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-3 @ 3.06% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 2.65% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 1.76% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-4 @ 0.9%
Other @ 2.22%
Total : 36.57%

How you voted: Port Vale vs Oxford Utd

Port Vale
Draw
Oxford United
Port Vale
50.0%
Draw
33.3%
Oxford United
16.7%
6
Head to Head
Nov 12, 2022 3pm
Oxford Utd
4-0
Port Vale
Bodin (10', 62'), Taylor (27', 66')

Robinson (35')
Nov 3, 2017 7.45pm
First Round
Port Vale
2-0
Oxford Utd
Gunning (16'), Pope (53')
Myers-Harness (10'), Denton (36')

Thomas (42'), Martin (89')
Apr 17, 2017 3pm
Oct 22, 2016 3pm
Port Vale
2-2
Oxford Utd
Cicilia (54'), Taylor (59' pen.)
Mac-Intosch (26')
Dunkley (11'), Crowley (19')
Nelson (58'), Dunkley (65')
Mar 2, 2013 3pm
Oxford Utd
2-1
Port Vale
Smalley (76'), Potter (10')
Batt (42'), Parker (54'), Capaldi (90')
Loft (16')
Jones (54'), Myrie-Williams (81'), Loft (85')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham35257358233582
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe351911561332868
3Wrexham36208850302068
4Charlton AthleticCharlton36189947311663
5Stockport CountyStockport361711852341862
6Bolton WanderersBolton36186125954560
7Huddersfield TownHuddersfield361771247331458
8Reading361610105145658
9Leyton Orient361651551371453
10Barnsley36157145051-152
11Blackpool36121595448651
12Stevenage36139143437-348
13Lincoln CityLincoln361210144845346
14Rotherham UnitedRotherham35128153941-244
15Wigan AthleticWigan351110143234-243
16Exeter CityExeter35127163950-1143
17Bristol Rovers36126183955-1642
18Mansfield TownMansfield36118174150-941
19Northampton TownNorthampton361011153653-1741
20Peterborough UnitedPeterborough35109165260-839
21Burton Albion36712173653-1733
22Crawley TownCrawley3679203866-2830
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge3678213560-2529
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury3677223460-2628


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