League One | Gameweek 35
Mar 4, 2023 at 3pm UK
LNER Stadium
Lincoln1 - 0Oxford Utd
Coverage of the League One clash between Lincoln City and Oxford United.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Lincoln 1-1 MK Dons
Tuesday, February 28 at 7.45pm in League One
Tuesday, February 28 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Oxford Utd 0-3 Bristol Rovers
Saturday, February 25 at 12.30pm in League One
Saturday, February 25 at 12.30pm in League One
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lincoln City win with a probability of 37.84%. A win for Oxford United had a probability of 34.19% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lincoln City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.98%) and 2-0 (7.01%). The likeliest Oxford United win was 0-1 (10.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Lincoln City in this match.
| Result | ||
| Lincoln City | Draw | Oxford United |
37.84% ( 0.03) | 27.97% ( -0.02) | 34.19% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 47.77% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.77% ( 0.05) | 58.23% ( -0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.13% ( 0.04) | 78.87% ( -0.04) |
| Lincoln City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.28% ( 0.04) | 29.72% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 34.22% ( 0.05) | 65.78% ( -0.06) |
| Oxford United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.98% ( 0.02) | 32.02% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 31.51% ( 0.02) | 68.49% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
Lincoln City 37.84%
Oxford United 34.18%
Draw 27.96%
| Lincoln City | Draw | Oxford United |
| 1-0 @ 11.54% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 7.98% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 7.01% ( 0)3-1 @ 3.23% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 2.83% ( 0)3-2 @ 1.84% ( 0)4-1 @ 0.98% ( 0)Other @ 2.43% Total : 37.84% | 1-1 @ 13.14% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 9.52% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 4.54% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.76% Total : 27.96% | 0-1 @ 10.83% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 7.49% ( 0)0-2 @ 6.17% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 2.84% ( 0)0-3 @ 2.34% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.72% ( 0)Other @ 2.79% Total : 34.18% |
How you voted: Lincoln vs Oxford Utd
Lincoln City
66.7%Draw
33.3%Oxford United
0.0%6
Head to Head
Jan 8, 2022 3pm
Aug 28, 2021 3pm
Form Guide
