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League One
Cambridge United
League One | Gameweek 33
Feb 18, 2023 at 3pm UK
Abbey Stadium
Oxford United

Cambridge
1 - 0
Oxford Utd

Jones (8')
Bennett (72'), Jones (83'), Ironside (90+2')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Baldock (29')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Cambridge United and Oxford United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cambridge United

All competitions
Last Game: Cambridge 1-2 Cheltenham
Tuesday, February 14 at 7.45pm in League One

Oxford United

All competitions
Last Game: Oxford Utd 1-3 Plymouth
Tuesday, February 14 at 7.45pm in League One

We said: Cambridge United 1-3 Oxford United

 Whichever way you slice it, Cambridge have been one of the worst teams in League One this season, which naturally gives almost every opponent the edge. Oxford may not be purring themselves, but Robinson's side should have enough to extend Cambridge's woeful start to 2023 by ending their own run of poor form. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 47.14%. A draw had a probability of 26.4% and a win for Cambridge United had a probability of 26.41%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.07%) and 0-2 (8.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.51%), while for a Cambridge United win it was 1-0 (8.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood.

Result
Cambridge UnitedDrawOxford United
26.41% (0.465 0.47) 26.44% (0.035 0.04) 47.14% (-0.503 -0.5)
Both teams to score 48.78% (0.267 0.27)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.7% (0.164 0.16)55.3% (-0.167 -0.17)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.48% (0.136 0.14)76.52% (-0.139 -0.14)
Cambridge United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.73% (0.482 0.48)36.27% (-0.485 -0.48)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.94% (0.488 0.49)73.05% (-0.491 -0.49)
Oxford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.54% (-0.16199999999999 -0.16)23.46% (0.159 0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.53% (-0.235 -0.23)57.47% (0.231 0.23)
Score Analysis
    Cambridge United 26.41%
    Oxford United 47.14%
    Draw 26.44%
Cambridge UnitedDrawOxford United
1-0 @ 8.63% (0.058 0.06)
2-1 @ 6.34% (0.095000000000001 0.1)
2-0 @ 4.38% (0.086 0.09)
3-1 @ 2.15% (0.06 0.06)
3-2 @ 1.56% (0.036 0.04)
3-0 @ 1.48% (0.048 0.05)
Other @ 1.89%
Total : 26.41%
1-1 @ 12.51% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-0 @ 8.51% (-0.055000000000001 -0.06)
2-2 @ 4.6% (0.048 0.05)
Other @ 0.83%
Total : 26.44%
0-1 @ 12.33% (-0.14 -0.14)
1-2 @ 9.07% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
0-2 @ 8.94% (-0.143 -0.14)
1-3 @ 4.38% (-0.032999999999999 -0.03)
0-3 @ 4.32% (-0.09 -0.09)
2-3 @ 2.22% (0.013 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.59% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-4 @ 1.57% (-0.04 -0.04)
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 47.14%

How you voted: Cambridge vs Oxford Utd

Cambridge United
38.5%
Draw
7.7%
Oxford United
53.8%
13
Head to Head
Aug 6, 2022 3pm
Oxford Utd
1-0
Cambridge
Goodrham (90+3')
Findlay (18'), Browne (47')

Dunk (36')
Feb 26, 2022 3pm
Oxford Utd
4-2
Cambridge
Taylor (36'), Brannagan (64', 90'), Baldock (72')
Brannagan (9'), Whyte (45+1')
Smith (6', 56')
Brophy (10'), Dunk (21'), O'Neil (90+2')
Aug 31, 2021 7pm
Cambridge
4-1
Oxford Utd
Smith (45', 45+3'), Knibbs (80'), Yearn (90+2')
May (63')
Agyei (71')
Cooper (42'), Johnson (53')
McNally (45+1')
Aug 7, 2021 3pm
Cambridge
1-1
Oxford Utd
Ironside (78' pen.)
O'Neil (31')
Seddon (42')
Williams (30'), Seddon (88')
Jan 12, 2021 7pm
Third Round
Oxford Utd
1-0
Cambridge
Hall (74')
Kelly (90+2')

Davies (64'), Darling (73')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wrexham7511146816
2Birmingham CityBirmingham6510136716
3Barnsley74121210213
4Charlton AthleticCharlton741275213
5Huddersfield TownHuddersfield7403118312
6Lincoln CityLincoln6321106411
7Stockport CountyStockport6321106411
8Peterborough UnitedPeterborough73221211111
9Blackpool73221313011
10Mansfield TownMansfield63211111011
11Wycombe WanderersWycombe63121210210
12Exeter CityExeter63038629
13Northampton TownNorthampton62228718
14Wigan AthleticWigan72236518
15Stevenage72235508
16Leyton Orient7214911-27
17Reading6213710-37
18Crawley TownCrawley621358-37
19Bolton WanderersBolton6213711-47
20Bristol Rovers7214611-57
21Rotherham UnitedRotherham713359-46
22Burton Albion6042810-24
23Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury7106512-73
24Cambridge UnitedCambridge6015613-71
> League One Full Table


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