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Championship header 2

League One
Cambridge United
League One | Gameweek 33
Feb 18, 2023 at 3pm UK
Abbey Stadium
Oxford United

Cambridge
1 - 0
Oxford Utd

Jones (8')
Bennett (72'), Jones (83'), Ironside (90+2')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Baldock (29')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Cambridge United and Oxford United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cambridge United

All competitions
Last Game: Cambridge 1-2 Cheltenham
Tuesday, February 14 at 7.45pm in League One

Oxford United

All competitions
Last Game: Oxford Utd 1-3 Plymouth
Tuesday, February 14 at 7.45pm in League One

We said: Cambridge United 1-3 Oxford United

 Whichever way you slice it, Cambridge have been one of the worst teams in League One this season, which naturally gives almost every opponent the edge. Oxford may not be purring themselves, but Robinson's side should have enough to extend Cambridge's woeful start to 2023 by ending their own run of poor form. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 47.14%. A draw had a probability of 26.4% and a win for Cambridge United had a probability of 26.41%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.07%) and 0-2 (8.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.51%), while for a Cambridge United win it was 1-0 (8.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood.

Result
Cambridge UnitedDrawOxford United
26.41% (0.465 0.47) 26.44% (0.035 0.04) 47.14% (-0.503 -0.5)
Both teams to score 48.78% (0.267 0.27)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.7% (0.164 0.16)55.3% (-0.167 -0.17)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.48% (0.136 0.14)76.52% (-0.139 -0.14)
Cambridge United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.73% (0.482 0.48)36.27% (-0.485 -0.48)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.94% (0.488 0.49)73.05% (-0.491 -0.49)
Oxford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.54% (-0.16199999999999 -0.16)23.46% (0.159 0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.53% (-0.235 -0.23)57.47% (0.231 0.23)
Score Analysis
    Cambridge United 26.41%
    Oxford United 47.14%
    Draw 26.44%
Cambridge UnitedDrawOxford United
1-0 @ 8.63% (0.058 0.06)
2-1 @ 6.34% (0.095000000000001 0.1)
2-0 @ 4.38% (0.086 0.09)
3-1 @ 2.15% (0.06 0.06)
3-2 @ 1.56% (0.036 0.04)
3-0 @ 1.48% (0.048 0.05)
Other @ 1.89%
Total : 26.41%
1-1 @ 12.51% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-0 @ 8.51% (-0.055000000000001 -0.06)
2-2 @ 4.6% (0.048 0.05)
Other @ 0.83%
Total : 26.44%
0-1 @ 12.33% (-0.14 -0.14)
1-2 @ 9.07% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
0-2 @ 8.94% (-0.143 -0.14)
1-3 @ 4.38% (-0.032999999999999 -0.03)
0-3 @ 4.32% (-0.09 -0.09)
2-3 @ 2.22% (0.013 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.59% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-4 @ 1.57% (-0.04 -0.04)
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 47.14%

How you voted: Cambridge vs Oxford Utd

Cambridge United
38.5%
Draw
7.7%
Oxford United
53.8%
13
Head to Head
Aug 6, 2022 3pm
Oxford Utd
1-0
Cambridge
Goodrham (90+3')
Findlay (18'), Browne (47')

Dunk (36')
Feb 26, 2022 3pm
Oxford Utd
4-2
Cambridge
Taylor (36'), Brannagan (64', 90'), Baldock (72')
Brannagan (9'), Whyte (45+1')
Smith (6', 56')
Brophy (10'), Dunk (21'), O'Neil (90+2')
Aug 31, 2021 7pm
Cambridge
4-1
Oxford Utd
Smith (45', 45+3'), Knibbs (80'), Yearn (90+2')
May (63')
Agyei (71')
Cooper (42'), Johnson (53')
McNally (45+1')
Aug 7, 2021 3pm
Cambridge
1-1
Oxford Utd
Ironside (78' pen.)
O'Neil (31')
Seddon (42')
Williams (30'), Seddon (88')
Jan 12, 2021 7pm
Third Round
Oxford Utd
1-0
Cambridge
Hall (74')
Kelly (90+2')

Davies (64'), Darling (73')
rhs 2.0
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> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe15112235181735
2Wrexham1694325111431
3Stockport CountyStockport1786329171230
4Birmingham CityBirmingham1493226151130
5Huddersfield TownHuddersfield158252315826
6Barnsley167542420426
7Lincoln CityLincoln167542320326
8Reading158252422226
9Bolton WanderersBolton158252425-126
10Mansfield TownMansfield147342016424
11Exeter CityExeter157261413123
12Peterborough UnitedPeterborough166373229321
13Bristol Rovers166371721-421
14Charlton AthleticCharlton155461617-119
15Stevenage165471116-519
16Northampton TownNorthampton164661821-318
17Wigan AthleticWigan154561312117
18Rotherham UnitedRotherham164571419-517
19Blackpool164572230-817
20Crawley TownCrawley174491527-1216
21Leyton Orient154381418-415
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge153391324-1112
23Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1632111629-1311
24Burton Albion151591528-138
> League One Full Table


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