We believe that Oxford will put an end to the poor form that they have suffered as of late and will find a more clinical edge to their performance as they have not suffered from a lack of ability to create goalscoring situations.
MK Dons will set up well, however, a lack of ability to highly threaten Oxford's goal could leave them unstuck in this contest and therefore we think that this contest will end 2-0 in the away side's favour.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 43.13%. A win for Oxford United had a probability of 31.04% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.94%) and 2-0 (7.48%). The likeliest Oxford United win was 0-1 (8.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood.
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