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MK Dons
League One | Gameweek 29
Jan 28, 2023 at 3pm UK
Stadium mk
Exeter City

MK Dons
0 - 2
Exeter


Devoy (36'), Harvie (63'), Watson (81'), Kaikai (78')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Brown (37' pen., 67')
Brown (22')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between MK Dons and Exeter City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: MK Dons 0-1 Shrewsbury
Tuesday, January 24 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Portsmouth 2-0 Exeter
Saturday, January 21 at 3pm in League One

We said: MK Dons 1-1 Exeter City

Although MK Dons are currently in a relegation fight, they have never lost a competitive home game against Exeter, and we think that they will continue that run by playing out a draw on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 46.82%. A win for Exeter City had a probability of 28.33% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.34%) and 2-0 (7.92%). The likeliest Exeter City win was 0-1 (7.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.76%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.

Result
MK DonsDrawExeter City
46.82% (0.013999999999996 0.01) 24.85%28.33% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
Both teams to score 55.13% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.3% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)47.7% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.11% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)69.89% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
MK Dons Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.58% (0.0030000000000001 0)20.42% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.14% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)52.86% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Exeter City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.28% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)30.73% (0.012 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.02% (-0.014999999999993 -0.01)66.98% (0.016999999999996 0.02)
Score Analysis
    MK Dons 46.82%
    Exeter City 28.33%
    Draw 24.84%
MK DonsDrawExeter City
1-0 @ 9.97% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-1 @ 9.34% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 7.92% (0.0040000000000004 0)
3-1 @ 4.95% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-0 @ 4.19% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-2 @ 2.92% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 1.97% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 1.67% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 1.16%
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 46.82%
1-1 @ 11.76%
0-0 @ 6.28% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-2 @ 5.51% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-3 @ 1.15% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 24.84%
0-1 @ 7.41%
1-2 @ 6.94% (-0.0029999999999992 -0)
0-2 @ 4.37% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
1-3 @ 2.73% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
2-3 @ 2.17% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-3 @ 1.72% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 3%
Total : 28.33%

How you voted: MK Dons vs Exeter

MK Dons
41.7%
Draw
33.3%
Exeter City
25.0%
12
Head to Head
Sep 3, 2022 3pm
Feb 2, 2019 3pm
Exeter
3-1
MK Dons
Law (7', 72'), Taylor (17')
Sweeney (6')
Walsh (48')
Cargill (58'), Houghton (73'), Gilbey (95')
Aug 25, 2018 3pm
MK Dons
1-0
Exeter
Agard (65' pen.)
Agard (17'), D'Ath (90')

Moxey (37'), Stockley (64')
Moxey (55')
Mar 10, 2012 3pm
Aug 13, 2011 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe19134243222143
2Birmingham CityBirmingham18133234161842
3Wrexham20125330131741
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield19113530181236
5Stockport CountyStockport2096532211133
6Reading199463028231
7Barnsley208662926330
8Bolton WanderersBolton189362829-130
9Lincoln CityLincoln207762625128
10Blackpool197572931-226
11Mansfield TownMansfield187472222025
12Stevenage187471517-225
13Peterborough UnitedPeterborough197393735224
14Charlton AthleticCharlton196671819-124
15Exeter CityExeter197391721-424
16Wigan AthleticWigan196581716123
17Rotherham UnitedRotherham186571920-123
18Leyton Orient196491920-122
19Northampton TownNorthampton205692129-821
20Bristol Rovers1963101728-1121
21Crawley TownCrawley1954102032-1219
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge1945102031-1117
23Burton Albion1926111630-1412
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1932141939-2011


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