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Lincoln City
League One | Gameweek 33
Feb 18, 2023 at 3pm UK
LNER Stadium
Portsmouth

Lincoln
0 - 0
Portsmouth


Mandroiu (45+3'), Eyoma (90+2')
FT

Morrell (5'), Rafferty (33'), Hackett-Fairchild (56'), Pigott (66')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Lincoln City and Portsmouth, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Derby 1-1 Lincoln
Tuesday, February 14 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Portsmouth 1-0 Burton Albion
Tuesday, February 14 at 7.45pm in League One

We said: Lincoln City 1-1 Portsmouth

Lincoln are yet to lose a home game in League One this season, but they have had a habit of drawing games with 11 of their 14 home league matches ending all square, and we think that they could be involved in another draw on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lincoln City win with a probability of 38.64%. A win for Portsmouth had a probability of 34.98% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lincoln City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.4%) and 2-0 (6.66%). The likeliest Portsmouth win was 0-1 (9.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.54%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Lincoln CityDrawPortsmouth
38.64% (0.0060000000000002 0.01) 26.37% (-0.00099999999999767 -0) 34.98% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Both teams to score 52.87% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.15% (0.011000000000003 0.01)51.85% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.39% (0.009999999999998 0.01)73.6% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Lincoln City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.78% (0.0080000000000098 0.01)26.21% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.69% (0.011000000000003 0.01)61.3% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)
Portsmouth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.66% (0.0049999999999955 0)28.34% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.92% (0.0039999999999978 0)64.07% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Score Analysis
    Lincoln City 38.64%
    Portsmouth 34.98%
    Draw 26.37%
Lincoln CityDrawPortsmouth
1-0 @ 9.95% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-1 @ 8.4% (0.0010000000000012 0)
2-0 @ 6.66%
3-1 @ 3.75% (0.0020000000000002 0)
3-0 @ 2.97% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 2.36% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 1.26% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 1% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 38.64%
1-1 @ 12.54%
0-0 @ 7.43% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-2 @ 5.29% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-3 @ 0.99% (0.001 0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.37%
0-1 @ 9.37% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-2 @ 7.91% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-2 @ 5.91% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-3 @ 3.32%
0-3 @ 2.48%
2-3 @ 2.23% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-4 @ 1.05%
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 34.98%

How you voted: Lincoln vs Portsmouth

Lincoln City
83.3%
Draw
0.0%
Portsmouth
16.7%
6
Head to Head
Aug 6, 2022 3pm
Apr 15, 2022 3pm
Portsmouth
3-2
Lincoln
Hirst (50' pen.), Jacobs (68'), Curtis (82')
Thompson (33')
Bishop (70'), House (78')
Jackson (68')
Nov 23, 2021 7.45pm
Lincoln
0-3
Portsmouth

Montsma (60'), Maguire (84')
Harness (45+3'), Hirst (66'), Hackett-Fairchild (89')
Raggett (28'), Morrell (32')
Jan 26, 2021 7pm
Portsmouth
0-1
Lincoln

Harness (16'), Raggett (22')
Whatmough (29')
Rogers (79')
Edun (32'), Jackson (88'), McGrandles (90+1')
Nov 3, 2020 7pm
Lincoln
1-3
Portsmouth
Hopper (73')
Grant (90+4')
Marquis (5', 50'), Curtis (61')
Curtis (57'), Marquis (88')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe15112235181735
2Wrexham1694325111431
3Stockport CountyStockport1786329171230
4Birmingham CityBirmingham1493226151130
5Huddersfield TownHuddersfield158252315826
6Barnsley167542420426
7Lincoln CityLincoln167542320326
8Reading158252422226
9Bolton WanderersBolton158252425-126
10Mansfield TownMansfield147342016424
11Exeter CityExeter157261413123
12Peterborough UnitedPeterborough166373229321
13Bristol Rovers166371721-421
14Charlton AthleticCharlton155461617-119
15Stevenage165471116-519
16Northampton TownNorthampton164661821-318
17Wigan AthleticWigan154561312117
18Rotherham UnitedRotherham164571419-517
19Blackpool164572230-817
20Crawley TownCrawley174491527-1216
21Leyton Orient154381418-415
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge153391324-1112
23Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1632111629-1311
24Burton Albion151591528-138


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