EFL Trophy | Quarter-Finals

Jan 10, 2023 at 7pm UK

LNER Stadium

Lincoln
2 - 2
Accrington

Hopper (7', 80')
Mandroiu (45+2'), O'Connor (77'), Jackson (83')

FT
(aet)

Presley (36', 73' pen.)
Conneely (89'), Presley (90+3')

Accrington win 3-1 on penalties

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's EFL Trophy clash between Lincoln City and Accrington Stanley, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lincoln City

All competitions

EFL Trophy

Last Game: Charlton 2-1 Lincoln
Saturday, January 7 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Accrington Stanley

All competitions

EFL Trophy

Last Game: Boreham Wood 1-1 Accrington
Saturday, January 7 at 3pm in FA Cup

Goals
for

Top scorers

We say: Lincoln City 2-1 Accrington Stanley

While both sides are currently enduring poor spells of form, Lincoln have at least proven to be a tough team to beat on home turf this season. In their last three EFL Trophy home games, Lincoln have won twice and drawn one match against Morecambe, who they subsequently beat on penalties to claim a bonus point in the group stage, and we think that the Imps will continue that positive run by claiming a narrow win over a depleted Accrington side. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Accrington Stanley win with a probability of 38.31%. A win for Lincoln City had a probability of 35.02% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for an Accrington Stanley win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.31%) and 0-2 (6.7%). The likeliest Lincoln City win was 1-0 (9.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.68%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.

Result
Lincoln City	Draw	Accrington Stanley
35.02% ( 0.38)	26.67% ( 0.08)	38.31% ( -0.47)

Both teams to score 51.91% (

-0.22)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.92% (

-0.3)

53.08% (

0.3)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.34% (

-0.25)

74.66% (

0.25)

Lincoln City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.08% (

0.09)

28.92% (

-0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.2% (

0.12)

64.8% (

-0.12)

Accrington Stanley Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.02% (

-0.4)

26.97% (

0.4)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.68% (

-0.53)

62.31% (

0.53)

Score Analysis

Lincoln City 35.02%

Accrington Stanley 38.31%

Draw 26.67%

Lincoln City	Draw	Accrington Stanley
1-0 @ 9.68% ( 0.14) 2-1 @ 7.87% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 6% ( 0.1) 3-1 @ 3.25% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 2.48% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 2.13% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.01% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.6% Total : 35.02%	1-1 @ 12.68% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 7.8% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 5.15% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 0.93% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.67%	0-1 @ 10.22% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 8.31% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 6.7% ( -0.07) 1-3 @ 3.63% ( -0.07) 0-3 @ 2.93% ( -0.07) 2-3 @ 2.25% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 1.19% ( -0.04) 0-4 @ 0.96% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.13% Total : 38.31%