League One

League One | Gameweek 23

Dec 26, 2022 at 3pm UK

Pirelli Stadium

Burton Albion
3 - 0
Lincoln

Hughes (5'), Smith (14'), Adeboyejo (27' pen.)

FT(HT: 3-0)

Diamond (75')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's League One clash between Burton Albion and Lincoln City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Burton Albion

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Barnsley 2-0 Burton Albion
Saturday, December 17 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Lincoln City

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Southampton 2-1 Lincoln
Tuesday, December 20 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Burton Albion 1-1 Lincoln City

Burton have failed to win their last seven league games, but after drawing four of their previous five matches in League One, we think that they will hold Lincoln to a draw on Monday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burton Albion win with a probability of 44.05%. A win for Lincoln City had a probability of 30.05% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burton Albion win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.01%) and 2-0 (7.76%). The likeliest Lincoln City win was 0-1 (8.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.31%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Burton Albion would win this match.

Result
Burton Albion	Draw	Lincoln City
44.05% ( 0.01)	25.9% ( -0)	30.05% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 52.77% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.74% (

0.01)

51.26% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.91% (

0.01)

73.09% (

-0.01)

Burton Albion Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.83% (

0.01)

23.17% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.94% (

0.01)

57.06% (

-0.01)

Lincoln City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.69%

31.31% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.33%

67.67% (

-0)

Score Analysis

Burton Albion 44.04%

Lincoln City 30.05%

Draw 25.89%

Burton Albion	Draw	Lincoln City
1-0 @ 10.6% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.01% ( 0) 2-0 @ 7.76% ( 0) 3-1 @ 4.39% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3.78% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.55% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.61% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.38% ( 0) 4-2 @ 0.93% ( 0) Other @ 2.04% Total : 44.04%	1-1 @ 12.31% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.26% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.23% 3-3 @ 0.99% ( 0) Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.89%	0-1 @ 8.43% ( -0) 1-2 @ 7.15% ( -0) 0-2 @ 4.89% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.77% 2-3 @ 2.02% 0-3 @ 1.89% ( -0) Other @ 2.9% Total : 30.05%