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Morecambe
League One | Gameweek 24
Dec 29, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Mazuma Stadium
Accrington Stanley

Morecambe
2 - 0
Accrington

Shaw (34'), Weir (43')
Bedeau (65')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Pritchard (57'), Rodgers (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's League One clash between Morecambe and Accrington Stanley, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Morecambe 1-2 Accrington Stanley

Morecambe may be winless in 11 games in all competitions, but they have avoided defeat in their last four home games, and with their previous three home matches finishing all square, we think that they will playing out another draw on Thursday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Accrington Stanley win with a probability of 45.83%. A win for Morecambe had a probability of 28.88% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an Accrington Stanley win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.23%) and 0-2 (7.91%). The likeliest Morecambe win was 1-0 (7.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.

Result
MorecambeDrawAccrington Stanley
28.88% (0.116 0.12) 25.29% (-0.012 -0.01) 45.83% (-0.106 -0.11)
Both teams to score 54.05% (0.113 0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.72% (0.112 0.11)49.28% (-0.11499999999999 -0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.66% (0.101 0.1)71.33% (-0.104 -0.1)
Morecambe Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.86% (0.14400000000001 0.14)31.14% (-0.147 -0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.53% (0.167 0.17)67.47% (-0.17 -0.17)
Accrington Stanley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.49% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)21.51% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.43% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)54.56% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Score Analysis
    Morecambe 28.88%
    Accrington Stanley 45.82%
    Draw 25.28%
MorecambeDrawAccrington Stanley
1-0 @ 7.81% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-1 @ 7.01% (0.023 0.02)
2-0 @ 4.56% (0.015 0.01)
3-1 @ 2.72% (0.02 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.09% (0.015 0.02)
3-0 @ 1.77% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 28.88%
1-1 @ 12% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.7% (-0.032 -0.03)
2-2 @ 5.38% (0.018 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.07% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.28%
0-1 @ 10.29% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
1-2 @ 9.23% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-2 @ 7.91% (-0.037 -0.04)
1-3 @ 4.73% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 4.05% (-0.019 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.76% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.82% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-4 @ 1.56% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.06% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 45.82%

How you voted: Morecambe vs Accrington

Morecambe
25.0%
Draw
25.0%
Accrington Stanley
50.0%
16
Head to Head
Oct 1, 2022 3pm
Accrington
3-1
Morecambe
Coyle (58'), Hamilton (82'), Leigh (85')
Astley (77' og.)
Gibson (28')
Jan 29, 2022 3pm
Accrington
2-2
Morecambe
Bishop (35'), Nottingham (45+4')
Bagueloc'rich (85'), Butcher (88')
Ayunga (14', 26')
Diagouraga (38'), Carson (74')
Sep 25, 2021 3pm
Morecambe
3-3
Accrington
Stockton (15', 81'), Phillips (27')
Gibson (19')
McLoughlin (38')
Bishop (19' pen., 68'), Butcher (21')
Hamilton (39')
Mar 6, 2018 7.45pm
Accrington
1-0
Morecambe
Kee (45' pen.)
Brown (63'), Jackson (67')

Rose (73'), Old (85')
Sep 2, 2017 3pm
Morecambe
1-2
Accrington
Ellison (95')
Brough (60'), Campbell (62'), Muller (76')
Oliver (57')
Kee (31'), Clark (90')
Jackson (63')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe14102232161632
2Birmingham CityBirmingham1393124121230
3Wrexham1584322111128
4Stockport CountyStockport167632617927
5Barnsley157532419526
6Lincoln CityLincoln157532117426
7Mansfield TownMansfield137332015524
8Huddersfield TownHuddersfield147252114723
9Exeter CityExeter147251410423
10Reading147252221123
11Bolton WanderersBolton147252224-223
12Peterborough UnitedPeterborough156363127421
13Charlton AthleticCharlton145451515019
14Bristol Rovers155371621-518
15Stevenage155371116-518
16Northampton TownNorthampton154561821-317
17Rotherham UnitedRotherham154561418-417
18Blackpool154562128-717
19Wigan AthleticWigan143561212014
20Leyton Orient144281418-414
21Crawley TownCrawley163491427-1313
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge143291324-1111
23Burton Albion141581525-108
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1522111327-148


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