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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ipswich Town win with a probability of 53.54%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Lincoln City had a probability of 21.66%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ipswich Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.22%) and 1-2 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.75%), while for a Lincoln City win it was 1-0 (7.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
Result | ||
Lincoln City | Draw | Ipswich Town |
21.66% ( -0.18) | 24.8% ( -0.11) | 53.54% ( 0.3) |
Both teams to score 48.68% ( 0.1) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.02% ( 0.25) | 52.98% ( -0.24) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.42% ( 0.21) | 74.58% ( -0.2) |
Lincoln City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.66% ( -0.04) | 39.34% ( 0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.96% ( -0.04) | 76.04% ( 0.04) |
Ipswich Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.25% ( 0.22) | 19.75% ( -0.21) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.22% ( 0.35) | 51.78% ( -0.34) |
Score Analysis |
Lincoln City | Draw | Ipswich Town |
1-0 @ 7.25% ( -0.08) 2-1 @ 5.48% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 3.38% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 1.71% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.38% 3-0 @ 1.05% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.41% Total : 21.66% | 1-1 @ 11.75% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 7.77% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 4.45% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.82% Total : 24.79% | 0-1 @ 12.6% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 10.22% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 9.54% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 5.53% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 5.16% ( 0.05) 2-3 @ 2.41% ( 0.02) 0-4 @ 2.24% ( 0.04) 1-4 @ 2.09% ( 0.03) 2-4 @ 0.98% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.79% Total : 53.54% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 14 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 32 | 16 | 16 | 32 |
2 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 13 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 24 | 12 | 12 | 30 |
3 | Wrexham | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 22 | 11 | 11 | 28 |
4 | Stockport CountyStockport | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 26 | 17 | 9 | 27 |
5 | Barnsley | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 24 | 19 | 5 | 26 |
6 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 26 |
7 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 24 |
8 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 21 | 14 | 7 | 23 |
9 | Exeter CityExeter | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 23 |
10 | Reading | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 22 | 21 | 1 | 23 |
11 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 23 |
12 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 31 | 27 | 4 | 21 |
13 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 19 |
14 | Bristol Rovers | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 16 | 21 | -5 | 18 |
15 | Stevenage | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 16 | -5 | 18 |
16 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 17 |
17 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 17 |
18 | Blackpool | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 21 | 28 | -7 | 17 |
19 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 14 |
20 | Leyton Orient | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 14 |
21 | Crawley TownCrawley | 16 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 14 | 27 | -13 | 13 |
22 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 11 |
23 | Burton Albion | 14 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 8 |
24 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 15 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 13 | 27 | -14 | 8 |
> League One Full Table |