Ipswich Town will likely rotate their squad for Sunday's contest, but they should still have more than enough to cruise past their visitors and advance to the third round. Buxton will arrive looking to cause an upset, but McKenna's men will likely contain the National League North side and force plenty of chances. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ipswich Town win with a probability of 82.42%. A draw had a probability of 12.3% and a win for Buxton had a probability of 5.32%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ipswich Town win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (12.7%) and 1-0 (10.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.8%), while for a Buxton win it was 0-1 (2.16%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ipswich Town would win this match.

Result
Ipswich Town	Draw	Buxton
82.42% ( 0.18)	12.25% ( -0.06)	5.32% ( -0.12)

Both teams to score 39.42% (

-0.6)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

62.79% (

-0.31)

37.2% (

0.3)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

40.59% (

-0.33)

59.41% (

0.33)

Ipswich Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

93.2% (

-0.03)

6.8% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

74.91% (

-0.07)

25.08% (

0.07)

Buxton Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

42.3% (

-0.63)

57.7% (

0.63)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

10.57% (

-0.35)

89.43% (

0.35)

Score Analysis

Ipswich Town 82.4%

Buxton 5.32%

Draw 12.26%

Ipswich Town	Draw	Buxton
2-0 @ 14.17% ( 0.16) 3-0 @ 12.7% ( 0.13) 1-0 @ 10.54% ( 0.14) 4-0 @ 8.54% ( 0.08) 2-1 @ 7.8% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 6.99% ( -0.07) 4-1 @ 4.7% ( -0.05) 5-0 @ 4.59% ( 0.04) 5-1 @ 2.52% ( -0.03) 6-0 @ 2.06% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.92% ( -0.06) 4-2 @ 1.29% ( -0.04) 6-1 @ 1.13% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.46% Total : 82.4%	1-1 @ 5.8% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 3.92% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 2.14% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.39% Total : 12.26%	0-1 @ 2.16% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 1.6% ( -0.04) Other @ 1.57% Total : 5.32%