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Championship header 2

League One
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League One | Gameweek 39
Apr 1, 2023 at 3pm UK
Pride Park Stadium
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Derby
0 - 2
Ipswich


Cashin (3'), McGoldrick (23'), Smith (60'), White (85')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Chaplin (17'), Hirst (76')
Clarke (41'), Walton (51'), Burns (90+1')
Coverage of the League One clash between Derby County and Ipswich Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Derby County

All competitions
Last Game: Peterborough 2-0 Derby
Saturday, March 25 at 3pm in League One

Ipswich Town

All competitions
Last Game: Ipswich 2-0 Shrewsbury
Saturday, March 18 at 3pm in League One

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ipswich Town win with a probability of 41.02%. A win for Derby County had a probability of 33.48% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ipswich Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.77%) and 0-2 (6.81%). The likeliest Derby County win was 1-0 (8.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.07%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ipswich Town would win this match.

Result
Derby CountyDrawIpswich Town
33.48% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 25.5% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01) 41.02% (0.014000000000003 0.01)
Both teams to score 55.44% (0.035000000000004 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.59% (0.049000000000007 0.05)48.41% (-0.052 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.45% (0.044 0.04)70.55% (-0.046999999999997 -0.05)
Derby County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.39% (0.019000000000005 0.02)27.61% (-0.023 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.86% (0.027999999999999 0.03)63.14% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)
Ipswich Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.59% (0.025999999999996 0.03)23.41% (-0.029 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.6% (0.042999999999999 0.04)57.4% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
Score Analysis
    Derby County 33.48%
    Ipswich Town 41.02%
    Draw 25.5%
Derby CountyDrawIpswich Town
1-0 @ 8.32% (-0.011999999999999 -0.01)
2-1 @ 7.77%
2-0 @ 5.35% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-1 @ 3.34% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-2 @ 2.42% (0.004 0)
3-0 @ 2.3%
4-1 @ 1.07% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 33.48%
1-1 @ 12.07% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.46% (-0.014 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.64% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-3 @ 1.17% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.5%
0-1 @ 9.38% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-2 @ 8.77% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 6.81% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
1-3 @ 4.24% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-3 @ 3.3% (0.0020000000000002 0)
2-3 @ 2.73% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-4 @ 1.54% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-4 @ 1.2% (0.002 0)
2-4 @ 0.99% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.05%
Total : 41.02%

How you voted: Derby vs Ipswich

Derby County
0.0%
Draw
9.1%
Ipswich Town
90.9%
11
Head to Head
Oct 21, 2022 8pm
Ipswich
1-0
Derby
Burns (67')
Morsy (10')
Feb 13, 2019 7.45pm
Ipswich
1-1
Derby
Nolan (55')
Bishop (57'), Chalobah (63'), Pennington (94')
Lawrence (2')
Waghorn (21'), Holmes (57'), Bennett (85'), Johnson (94')
> Match Report
Aug 21, 2018 7.45pm
Derby
2-0
Ipswich
Ledley (59'), Lawrence (68')
Bryson (16'), Keogh (42')

Skuse (47'), Nsiala (67')
Dec 30, 2017 3pm
Ipswich
1-2
Derby
Garner (65')
Webster (43')
Winnall (13', 48')
Nov 28, 2017 7.45pm
Derby
0-1
Ipswich

Lawrence (33'), Russell (90'), Baird (90')
Connolly (5')
Chambers (58'), Webster (64'), Downes (82')
rhs 2.0
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> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe15112235181735
2Wrexham1694325111431
3Stockport CountyStockport1786329171230
4Birmingham CityBirmingham1493226151130
5Huddersfield TownHuddersfield158252315826
6Barnsley167542420426
7Lincoln CityLincoln167542320326
8Reading158252422226
9Bolton WanderersBolton158252425-126
10Mansfield TownMansfield147342016424
11Exeter CityExeter157261413123
12Peterborough UnitedPeterborough166373229321
13Bristol Rovers166371721-421
14Charlton AthleticCharlton155461617-119
15Stevenage165471116-519
16Northampton TownNorthampton164661821-318
17Wigan AthleticWigan154561312117
18Rotherham UnitedRotherham164571419-517
19Blackpool164572230-817
20Crawley TownCrawley174491527-1216
21Leyton Orient154381418-415
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge153391324-1112
23Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1632111629-1311
24Burton Albion151591528-138
> League One Full Table


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