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League One | Gameweek 29
Mar 7, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Portman Road Stadium
Accrington Stanley

Ipswich
3 - 0
Accrington

Broadhead (12'), Jackson (56'), Edwards (90+4')
Burgess (42')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Conneely (45+3'), Fernandes (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Ipswich Town and Accrington Stanley, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Ipswich Town 3-1 Accrington Stanley

Ipswich have been a dominant force at Portman Road this season, and we think that they will extend their unbeaten home run to 11 league games when they face an Accrington side who are winless in six away matches in League One. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ipswich Town win with a probability of 77.9%. A draw had a probability of 14.5% and a win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 7.61%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ipswich Town win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.09%) and 1-0 (10.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.9%), while for an Accrington Stanley win it was 0-1 (2.73%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ipswich Town would win this match.

Result
Ipswich TownDrawAccrington Stanley
77.9% (0.0090000000000003 0.01) 14.5% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01) 7.61% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Both teams to score 44.48% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.72% (0.016999999999996 0.02)38.28% (-0.017000000000003 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.44% (0.019999999999996 0.02)60.57% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Ipswich Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)8% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
71.79% (0.016000000000005 0.02)28.21% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Accrington Stanley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
48.35% (0.0039999999999978 0)51.66% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
14.22% (0.0040000000000013 0)85.78% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Score Analysis
    Ipswich Town 77.88%
    Accrington Stanley 7.61%
    Draw 14.5%
Ipswich TownDrawAccrington Stanley
2-0 @ 13.18%
3-0 @ 11.09%
1-0 @ 10.43% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.71% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
3-1 @ 7.33% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-0 @ 7.01% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 4.63% (0.0019999999999998 0)
5-0 @ 3.54% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 2.42% (0.00099999999999989 0)
5-1 @ 2.34% (0.0020000000000002 0)
4-2 @ 1.53% (0.00099999999999989 0)
6-0 @ 1.49% (0.0010000000000001 0)
6-1 @ 0.98% (0.001 0)
Other @ 3.21%
Total : 77.88%
1-1 @ 6.9% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-0 @ 4.13% (-0.0029999999999992 -0)
2-2 @ 2.88%
Other @ 0.59%
Total : 14.5%
0-1 @ 2.73% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
1-2 @ 2.28%
0-2 @ 0.9%
Other @ 1.7%
Total : 7.61%

How you voted: Ipswich vs Accrington

Ipswich Town
89.5%
Draw
5.3%
Accrington Stanley
5.3%
38
Head to Head
Sep 3, 2022 3pm
Accrington
0-2
Ipswich

Leigh (56'), Tharme (79'), Hamilton (85')
Chaplin (76'), Burns (87')
Woolfenden (14'), Davis (20'), Burns (73')
Jan 22, 2022 3pm
Ipswich
2-1
Accrington
Burns (23'), Chaplin (65')
Carroll (52'), Edmundson (87'), Celina (89')
Hamilton (15')
Nottingham (8'), Pell (58'), Longelo-Mbule (83')
Oct 2, 2021 3pm
Accrington
2-1
Ipswich
Bishop (50'), Pell (79')
Hamilton (81'), Conneely (90')
Bonne (38')
Norwood (90')
Mar 2, 2021 7pm
Accrington
1-2
Ipswich
Charles (4')
Burgess (45+6'), Charles (48'), McConville (67')
Conneely (16')
Wilson (41'), Norwood (45+6')
Wilson (79')
Oct 17, 2020 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham29216251193269
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe30179456312560
3Wrexham30177645252058
4Stockport CountyStockport32169749301957
5Huddersfield TownHuddersfield30157843271652
6Leyton Orient301551046271950
7Charlton AthleticCharlton31148940301050
8Bolton WanderersBolton31155115048250
9Reading31147104643349
10Barnsley31127124343043
11Blackpool3191484544141
12Stevenage30118112931-241
13Lincoln CityLincoln311010113838040
14Rotherham UnitedRotherham31108133537-238
15Mansfield TownMansfield30115143841-338
16Exeter CityExeter30105153446-1235
17Bristol Rovers30105153246-1435
18Wigan AthleticWigan2997132730-334
19Northampton TownNorthampton3189142947-1833
20Peterborough UnitedPeterborough3187164758-1131
21Crawley TownCrawley3077163454-2028
22Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury3176183353-2027
23Burton Albion31511153248-1626
24Cambridge UnitedCambridge3158183056-2623


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