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League One | Gameweek 29
Mar 7, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Portman Road Stadium
Accrington Stanley

Ipswich
3 - 0
Accrington

Broadhead (12'), Jackson (56'), Edwards (90+4')
Burgess (42')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Conneely (45+3'), Fernandes (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Ipswich Town and Accrington Stanley, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Ipswich Town 3-1 Accrington Stanley

Ipswich have been a dominant force at Portman Road this season, and we think that they will extend their unbeaten home run to 11 league games when they face an Accrington side who are winless in six away matches in League One. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ipswich Town win with a probability of 77.9%. A draw had a probability of 14.5% and a win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 7.61%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ipswich Town win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.09%) and 1-0 (10.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.9%), while for an Accrington Stanley win it was 0-1 (2.73%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ipswich Town would win this match.

Result
Ipswich TownDrawAccrington Stanley
77.9% (0.0090000000000003 0.01) 14.5% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01) 7.61% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Both teams to score 44.48% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.72% (0.016999999999996 0.02)38.28% (-0.017000000000003 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.44% (0.019999999999996 0.02)60.57% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Ipswich Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)8% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
71.79% (0.016000000000005 0.02)28.21% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Accrington Stanley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
48.35% (0.0039999999999978 0)51.66% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
14.22% (0.0040000000000013 0)85.78% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Score Analysis
    Ipswich Town 77.88%
    Accrington Stanley 7.61%
    Draw 14.5%
Ipswich TownDrawAccrington Stanley
2-0 @ 13.18%
3-0 @ 11.09%
1-0 @ 10.43% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.71% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
3-1 @ 7.33% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-0 @ 7.01% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 4.63% (0.0019999999999998 0)
5-0 @ 3.54% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 2.42% (0.00099999999999989 0)
5-1 @ 2.34% (0.0020000000000002 0)
4-2 @ 1.53% (0.00099999999999989 0)
6-0 @ 1.49% (0.0010000000000001 0)
6-1 @ 0.98% (0.001 0)
Other @ 3.21%
Total : 77.88%
1-1 @ 6.9% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-0 @ 4.13% (-0.0029999999999992 -0)
2-2 @ 2.88%
Other @ 0.59%
Total : 14.5%
0-1 @ 2.73% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
1-2 @ 2.28%
0-2 @ 0.9%
Other @ 1.7%
Total : 7.61%

How you voted: Ipswich vs Accrington

Ipswich Town
Draw
Accrington Stanley
Ipswich Town
89.5%
Draw
5.3%
Accrington Stanley
5.3%
38
Head to Head
Sep 3, 2022 3pm
Accrington
0-2
Ipswich

Leigh (56'), Tharme (79'), Hamilton (85')
Chaplin (76'), Burns (87')
Woolfenden (14'), Davis (20'), Burns (73')
Jan 22, 2022 3pm
Ipswich
2-1
Accrington
Burns (23'), Chaplin (65')
Carroll (52'), Edmundson (87'), Celina (89')
Hamilton (15')
Nottingham (8'), Pell (58'), Longelo-Mbule (83')
Oct 2, 2021 3pm
Accrington
2-1
Ipswich
Bishop (50'), Pell (79')
Hamilton (81'), Conneely (90')
Bonne (38')
Norwood (90')
Mar 2, 2021 7pm
Accrington
1-2
Ipswich
Charles (4')
Burgess (45+6'), Charles (48'), McConville (67')
Conneely (16')
Wilson (41'), Norwood (45+6')
Wilson (79')
Oct 17, 2020 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham36258359243583
2Wrexham38228852302274
3Wycombe WanderersWycombe372011664362871
4Charlton AthleticCharlton381991049351466
5Stockport CountyStockport381811953351865
6Huddersfield TownHuddersfield371871252341861
7Bolton WanderersBolton37186135955460
8Reading371611105246659
9Leyton Orient371751553381556
10Blackpool381315105750754
11Barnsley38158155254-253
12Lincoln CityLincoln381311145345850
13Stevenage371310143538-349
14Rotherham UnitedRotherham37129164245-345
15Peterborough UnitedPeterborough37129165660-445
16Exeter CityExeter37129164051-1145
17Mansfield TownMansfield37128174351-844
18Wigan AthleticWigan361110153336-343
19Northampton TownNorthampton381012163756-1942
20Bristol Rovers38126203961-2242
21Burton Albion37812173853-1536
22Crawley TownCrawley3889214071-3133
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge3879223662-2630
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury3777233462-2828


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