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League One | Gameweek 33
Feb 18, 2023 at 3pm UK
Wham Stadium
Shrewsbury Town

Accrington
1 - 0
Shrewsbury

Presley (12')
Longelo-Mbule (67'), Sangare (77'), Fernandes (90+8')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Winchester (16'), Saydee (50'), Phillips (90+8')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Accrington Stanley and Shrewsbury Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Exeter 0-0 Shrewsbury
Tuesday, February 14 at 7.45pm in League One

We said: Accrington Stanley 1-2 Shrewsbury Town

This fixture is set to be a war of attrition due to the aggressive nature of both sides, but we believe that Shrewsbury will slightly edge this match, as they pose a major threat from set pieces. We think that Accrington will still cause Shrewsbury some defensive issues, but will be unable to continue their six-match unbeaten streak against the away side. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shrewsbury Town win with a probability of 40.51%. A win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 31.48% and a draw had a probability of 28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shrewsbury Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.24%) and 0-2 (7.69%). The likeliest Accrington Stanley win was 1-0 (10.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood.

Result
Accrington StanleyDrawShrewsbury Town
31.48% (0.295 0.3) 28.02% (0.184 0.18) 40.51% (-0.475 -0.48)
Both teams to score 47.04% (-0.418 -0.42)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.14% (-0.57400000000001 -0.57)58.87% (0.58 0.58)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.64% (-0.447 -0.45)79.37% (0.452 0.45)
Accrington Stanley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.77% (-0.084999999999994 -0.08)34.23% (0.090000000000003 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.07% (-0.094000000000001 -0.09)70.93% (0.099000000000004 0.1)
Shrewsbury Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.52% (-0.54000000000001 -0.54)28.48% (0.544 0.54)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.75% (-0.685 -0.69)64.25% (0.69 0.69)
Score Analysis
    Accrington Stanley 31.48%
    Shrewsbury Town 40.5%
    Draw 28.01%
Accrington StanleyDrawShrewsbury Town
1-0 @ 10.45% (0.2 0.2)
2-1 @ 7.04% (0.012 0.01)
2-0 @ 5.6% (0.095000000000001 0.1)
3-1 @ 2.51% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
3-0 @ 2% (0.029 0.03)
3-2 @ 1.58% (-0.025 -0.03)
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 31.48%
1-1 @ 13.12% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
0-0 @ 9.75% (0.211 0.21)
2-2 @ 4.42% (-0.06 -0.06)
Other @ 0.72%
Total : 28.01%
0-1 @ 12.24% (0.08 0.08)
1-2 @ 8.24% (-0.090999999999999 -0.09)
0-2 @ 7.69% (-0.066 -0.07)
1-3 @ 3.45% (-0.092 -0.09)
0-3 @ 3.22% (-0.078 -0.08)
2-3 @ 1.85% (-0.053 -0.05)
1-4 @ 1.08% (-0.045 -0.04)
0-4 @ 1.01% (-0.04 -0.04)
Other @ 1.72%
Total : 40.5%

How you voted: Accrington vs Shrewsbury

Accrington Stanley
Draw
Shrewsbury Town
Accrington Stanley
41.7%
Draw
0.0%
Shrewsbury Town
58.3%
12
Head to Head
Aug 6, 2022 3pm
Dec 29, 2021 7.45pm
Sep 4, 2021 3pm
Accrington
1-0
Shrewsbury
Mumbongo (15')
Morgan (65')

Vela (25'), Pennington (44'), Cosgrove (45+2'), Nurse (62')
Feb 20, 2021 3pm
Accrington
1-1
Shrewsbury
Conneely (47')
Conneely (43'), Barclay (45+1'), Morgan (80')
Whalley (77')
Main (56')
Dec 2, 2020 7.45pm
Shrewsbury
2-2
Accrington
Pierre (26'), Whalley (86')
Norburn (33'), Williams (38'), Walker (41'), Vela (57')
Pritchard (24'), Cassidy (90+4' pen.)
Hughes (84')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham36258359243583
2Wrexham38228852302274
3Wycombe WanderersWycombe372011664362871
4Charlton AthleticCharlton381991049351466
5Stockport CountyStockport381811953351865
6Huddersfield TownHuddersfield371871252341861
7Bolton WanderersBolton37186135955460
8Reading371611105246659
9Leyton Orient371751553381556
10Blackpool381315105750754
11Barnsley38158155254-253
12Lincoln CityLincoln381311145345850
13Stevenage371310143538-349
14Rotherham UnitedRotherham37129164245-345
15Peterborough UnitedPeterborough37129165660-445
16Exeter CityExeter37129164051-1145
17Mansfield TownMansfield37128174351-844
18Wigan AthleticWigan361110153336-343
19Northampton TownNorthampton381012163756-1942
20Bristol Rovers38126203961-2242
21Burton Albion37812173853-1536
22Crawley TownCrawley3889214071-3133
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge3879223662-2630
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury3777233462-2828


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