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Accrington Stanley
League One | Gameweek 27
Jan 14, 2023 at 3pm UK
Wham Stadium
Bristol Rovers

Accrington
2 - 0
Bristol Rovers

Leigh (51'), Astley (79')
Coyle (38'), Rodgers (55'), Martin (86'), Hamilton (89')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Sinclair (25'), Finley (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Accrington Stanley and Bristol Rovers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Accrington Stanley 1-3 Bristol Rovers

On the back of only one league victory in their last 11 matches, we can predict playoff candidates Bristol Rovers moving closer to the top six with a hard-fought win over Accrington Stanley at The Crowd Ground on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol Rovers win with a probability of 38.86%. A win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 35.73% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bristol Rovers win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.53%) and 0-2 (6.31%). The likeliest Accrington Stanley win was 1-0 (8.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.

Result
Accrington StanleyDrawBristol Rovers
35.73% (0.048999999999999 0.05) 25.41% (0.024999999999999 0.02) 38.86% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)
Both teams to score 56.21% (-0.085000000000001 -0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.39% (-0.113 -0.11)47.6% (0.109 0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.19% (-0.105 -0.11)69.81% (0.10100000000001 0.1)
Accrington Stanley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.12% (-0.025000000000006 -0.03)25.88% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.14% (-0.029999999999994 -0.03)60.86% (0.027999999999999 0.03)
Bristol Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.84% (-0.091999999999999 -0.09)24.15% (0.087 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.52% (-0.131 -0.13)58.47% (0.127 0.13)
Score Analysis
    Accrington Stanley 35.73%
    Bristol Rovers 38.86%
    Draw 25.4%
Accrington StanleyDrawBristol Rovers
1-0 @ 8.45% (0.032999999999999 0.03)
2-1 @ 8.11% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-0 @ 5.71% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
3-1 @ 3.66%
3-2 @ 2.6% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.57% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.24%
Other @ 3.39%
Total : 35.73%
1-1 @ 12% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 6.25% (0.028 0.03)
2-2 @ 5.76% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.23% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.4%
0-1 @ 8.88% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
1-2 @ 8.53% (-0.011000000000001 -0.01)
0-2 @ 6.31% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
1-3 @ 4.04% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-3 @ 2.99% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.73% (-0.013 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.43% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.06% (-0.006 -0.01)
2-4 @ 0.97% (-0.007 -0.01)
Other @ 1.93%
Total : 38.86%

How you voted: Accrington vs Bristol Rovers

Accrington Stanley
27.3%
Draw
18.2%
Bristol Rovers
54.5%
11
Head to Head
Mar 9, 2021 7pm
Feb 2, 2021 7pm
Accrington
6-1
Bristol Rovers
Pritchard (8'), Charles (12', 17', 70'), Bishop (28', 48')
Pritchard (7'), McConville (44')
Nicholson (11')
Williams (61')
Sep 7, 2019 3pm
Bristol Rovers
3-3
Accrington
Rodman (4'), Clarke-Harris (41', 63')
Clarke (52'), Clarke-Harris (73')
Clark (18'), Finley (20'), Charles (77' pen.)
Conneely (10')
Conneely (49')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham29216251193269
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe30179456312560
3Wrexham30177645252058
4Stockport CountyStockport32169749301957
5Huddersfield TownHuddersfield30157843271652
6Leyton Orient301551046271950
7Charlton AthleticCharlton31148940301050
8Bolton WanderersBolton31155115048250
9Reading31147104643349
10Barnsley31127124343043
11Blackpool3191484544141
12Stevenage30118112931-241
13Lincoln CityLincoln311010113838040
14Rotherham UnitedRotherham31108133537-238
15Mansfield TownMansfield30115143841-338
16Exeter CityExeter30105153446-1235
17Bristol Rovers30105153246-1435
18Wigan AthleticWigan2997132730-334
19Northampton TownNorthampton3189142947-1833
20Peterborough UnitedPeterborough3187164758-1131
21Crawley TownCrawley3077163454-2028
22Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury3176183353-2027
23Burton Albion31511153248-1626
24Cambridge UnitedCambridge3158183056-2623


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