League One

League One | Gameweek 27

Jan 14, 2023 at 3pm UK

Wham Stadium

Accrington
2 - 0
Bristol Rovers

Leigh (51'), Astley (79')
Coyle (38'), Rodgers (55'), Martin (86'), Hamilton (89')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Sinclair (25'), Finley (90+4')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Accrington Stanley and Bristol Rovers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Accrington Stanley

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Lincoln 2-2 Accrington (1-3 pen.)
Tuesday, January 10 at 7pm in EFL Trophy

Goals
for

Top scorers

Bristol Rovers

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Bristol Rovers 0-2 Plymouth
Tuesday, January 10 at 7.45pm in EFL Trophy

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Accrington Stanley 1-3 Bristol Rovers

On the back of only one league victory in their last 11 matches, we can predict playoff candidates Bristol Rovers moving closer to the top six with a hard-fought win over Accrington Stanley at The Crowd Ground on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol Rovers win with a probability of 38.86%. A win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 35.73% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bristol Rovers win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.53%) and 0-2 (6.31%). The likeliest Accrington Stanley win was 1-0 (8.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.

Result
Accrington Stanley	Draw	Bristol Rovers
35.73% ( 0.05)	25.41% ( 0.02)	38.86% ( -0.08)

Both teams to score 56.21% (

-0.09)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.39% (

-0.11)

47.6% (

0.11)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.19% (

-0.11)

69.81% (

0.1)

Accrington Stanley Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.12% (

-0.03)

25.88% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.14% (

-0.03)

60.86% (

0.03)

Bristol Rovers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.84% (

-0.09)

24.15% (

0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.52% (

-0.13)

58.47% (

0.13)

Score Analysis

Accrington Stanley 35.73%

Bristol Rovers 38.86%

Draw 25.4%

Accrington Stanley	Draw	Bristol Rovers
1-0 @ 8.45% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 8.11% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 5.71% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 3.66% 3-2 @ 2.6% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 2.57% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.24% Other @ 3.39% Total : 35.73%	1-1 @ 12% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 6.25% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 5.76% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.23% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.4%	0-1 @ 8.88% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 8.53% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 6.31% ( -0) 1-3 @ 4.04% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 2.99% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.73% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.43% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.06% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 0.97% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.93% Total : 38.86%