League One

League One | Gameweek 25

Jan 1, 2023 at 3pm UK

Memorial Stadium

Bristol Rovers
2 - 1
Cheltenham

Collins (25'), Coburn (39')
Loft (90+7')

FT(HT: 2-0)

May (48')
Ferry (79')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's League One clash between Bristol Rovers and Cheltenham Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bristol Rovers

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Bristol Rovers 3-4 Exeter
Thursday, December 29 at 7.45pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Cheltenham Town

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Shrewsbury 0-1 Cheltenham
Thursday, December 29 at 7.45pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Bristol Rovers 1-1 Cheltenham Town

There are only three points between these two teams in the league table, and we are expecting it to be a close match on New Year's Day. Both managers will be keen not to lose, which could create a cagey affair, and we have had to settle on a low-scoring draw in this contest. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol Rovers win with a probability of 53.12%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 22.39%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bristol Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.81%) and 2-1 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.64%), while for a Cheltenham Town win it was 0-1 (7.05%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bristol Rovers would win this match.

Result
Bristol Rovers	Draw	Cheltenham Town
53.12% ( 0.01)	24.49% ( -0)	22.39% ( -0)

Both teams to score 50.51%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.98% (

51.02% (

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.12%

72.89% (

Bristol Rovers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.85% (

19.16% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.19% (

50.82% (

-0)

Cheltenham Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.48% (

-0)

37.52% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.7% (

-0)

74.3% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

Bristol Rovers 53.12%

Cheltenham Town 22.39%

Draw 24.48%

Bristol Rovers	Draw	Cheltenham Town
1-0 @ 11.87% 2-0 @ 9.81% ( 0) 2-1 @ 9.62% ( 0) 3-0 @ 5.41% ( 0) 3-1 @ 5.3% 3-2 @ 2.6% 4-0 @ 2.23% 4-1 @ 2.19% 4-2 @ 1.07% Other @ 3.01% Total : 53.12%	1-1 @ 11.64% 0-0 @ 7.19% 2-2 @ 4.72% ( -0) Other @ 0.94% Total : 24.48%	0-1 @ 7.05% ( -0) 1-2 @ 5.71% ( -0) 0-2 @ 3.45% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.87% 2-3 @ 1.54% 0-3 @ 1.13% Other @ 1.65% Total : 22.39%