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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burton Albion win with a probability of 47.01%. A win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 27.75% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burton Albion win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.31%) and 2-0 (8.22%). The likeliest Accrington Stanley win was 0-1 (7.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.99%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Burton Albion | Draw | Accrington Stanley |
47.01% ( -0.06) | 25.23% ( 0) | 27.75% ( 0.06) |
Both teams to score 53.45% ( 0.04) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.3% ( 0.03) | 49.7% ( -0.04) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.28% ( 0.03) | 71.71% ( -0.03) |
Burton Albion Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.84% ( -0.02) | 21.16% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.98% ( -0.02) | 54.02% ( 0.02) |
Accrington Stanley Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.79% ( 0.06) | 32.2% ( -0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.3% ( 0.07) | 68.69% ( -0.08) |
Score Analysis |
Burton Albion | Draw | Accrington Stanley |
1-0 @ 10.58% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.31% ( -0) 2-0 @ 8.22% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 4.82% ( -0) 3-0 @ 4.26% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.73% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.87% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.65% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.06% Other @ 2.51% Total : 47.01% | 1-1 @ 11.99% 0-0 @ 6.81% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.28% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.03% ( 0) Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.23% | 0-1 @ 7.72% ( 0) 1-2 @ 6.79% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 4.37% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.57% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.99% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.65% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.65% Total : 27.75% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 12 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 23 | 11 | 12 | 29 |
2 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 26 | 16 | 10 | 26 |
3 | Wrexham | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 21 | 10 | 11 | 25 |
4 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 20 | 14 | 6 | 24 |
5 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 24 |
6 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 22 | 19 | 3 | 23 |
7 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 19 | 12 | 7 | 22 |
8 | Barnsley | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 21 | 18 | 3 | 22 |
9 | Reading | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 21 | 20 | 1 | 22 |
10 | Stockport CountyStockport | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 20 | 12 | 8 | 21 |
11 | Exeter CityExeter | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 13 | 10 | 3 | 19 |
12 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 19 |
13 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 25 | 26 | -1 | 18 |
14 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 17 |
15 | Stevenage | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 10 | 15 | -5 | 17 |
16 | Blackpool | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 16 |
17 | Bristol Rovers | 13 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 16 |
18 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 15 |
19 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 14 |
20 | Leyton Orient | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 11 | 18 | -7 | 11 |
21 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 11 | 17 | -6 | 10 |
22 | Crawley TownCrawley | 13 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 12 | 25 | -13 | 10 |
23 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 14 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 13 | 25 | -12 | 8 |
24 | Burton Albion | 12 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 13 | 25 | -12 | 4 |
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