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Plymouth Argyle
League One | Gameweek 41
Apr 10, 2023 at 3pm UK
Home Park
Lincoln City

Plymouth
0 - 2
Lincoln


Wilson (30')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Shodipo (28'), House (47')
O'Connor (43'), Virtue (56'), Erhahon (58')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's League One clash between Plymouth Argyle and Lincoln City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lincoln 2-0 Cheltenham
Friday, April 7 at 3pm in League One

We said: Plymouth Argyle 2-0 Lincoln City

Although Lincoln would have taken confidence from Friday's victory, we think that they will be unable to trouble a Plymouth side that have won eight of their last nine home league games. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Plymouth Argyle win with a probability of 58.44%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Lincoln City had a probability of 18.89%.

The most likely scoreline for a Plymouth Argyle win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.56%) and 2-1 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.78%), while for a Lincoln City win it was 0-1 (5.9%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood.

Result
Plymouth ArgyleDrawLincoln City
58.44% (1.452 1.45) 22.67% (-0.559 -0.56) 18.89% (-0.887 -0.89)
Both teams to score 50.9% (0.256 0.26)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.12% (1.095 1.1)47.89% (-1.089 -1.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.94% (0.999 1)70.07% (-0.992 -0.99)
Plymouth Argyle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.93% (0.892 0.89)16.07% (-0.885 -0.89)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.55% (1.6 1.6)45.45% (-1.593 -1.59)
Lincoln City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.65% (-0.337 -0.34)39.35% (0.345 0.34)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.95% (-0.317 -0.32)76.05% (0.324 0.32)
Score Analysis
    Plymouth Argyle 58.43%
    Lincoln City 18.89%
    Draw 22.67%
Plymouth ArgyleDrawLincoln City
1-0 @ 11.56% (-0.17 -0.17)
2-0 @ 10.56% (0.15 0.15)
2-1 @ 9.86% (0.052 0.05)
3-0 @ 6.44% (0.281 0.28)
3-1 @ 6.01% (0.207 0.21)
4-0 @ 2.94% (0.211 0.21)
3-2 @ 2.8% (0.071 0.07)
4-1 @ 2.75% (0.173 0.17)
4-2 @ 1.28% (0.069 0.07)
5-0 @ 1.08% (0.106 0.11)
5-1 @ 1% (0.091 0.09)
Other @ 2.16%
Total : 58.43%
1-1 @ 10.78% (-0.27 -0.27)
0-0 @ 6.32% (-0.291 -0.29)
2-2 @ 4.6% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 22.67%
0-1 @ 5.9% (-0.328 -0.33)
1-2 @ 5.03% (-0.172 -0.17)
0-2 @ 2.75% (-0.18 -0.18)
1-3 @ 1.56% (-0.069 -0.07)
2-3 @ 1.43% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 2.22%
Total : 18.89%

How you voted: Plymouth vs Lincoln

Plymouth Argyle
Draw
Lincoln City
Plymouth Argyle
76.0%
Draw
8.0%
Lincoln City
16.0%
25
Head to Head
Nov 12, 2022 3pm
Jan 22, 2022 3pm
Plymouth
1-2
Lincoln
Jephcott (34')
Garrick (90+5')
Marquis (51'), Melbourne (90+2')
Bramall (62'), Bishop (82'), Cullen (88'), McGrandles (90+5')
Oct 2, 2021 3pm
Lincoln
2-2
Plymouth
Sorensen (66'), Scully (90' pen.)
Bishop (36'), Nlundulu (45+4'), Maguire (80'), Scully (90+2')
Hardie (25'), Galloway (74')
Scarr (90'), Edwards (90+2')
Feb 27, 2021 3pm
Plymouth
4-3
Lincoln
Watts (3'), Mayor (13'), Grant (77'), Edwards (90+2')
Fornah (27'), Edwards (63')
McGrandles (22'), Grant (59' pen., 62')
Nov 28, 2020 3pm
Second Round
Plymouth
2-0
Lincoln
Jephcott (6'), Reeves (55')
Canavan (55'), Opoku (85')

Melbourne (21'), Walsh (54'), Edun (67'), McGrandles (76'), (90+5')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham36258359243583
2Wrexham37218851302171
3Wycombe WanderersWycombe361911661342768
4Charlton AthleticCharlton37199949321766
5Stockport CountyStockport371811853341965
6Huddersfield TownHuddersfield371871252341861
7Bolton WanderersBolton37186135955460
8Reading371611105246659
9Leyton Orient371751553381556
10Barnsley37157155153-252
11Blackpool371215105550551
12Lincoln CityLincoln371310145345849
13Stevenage371310143538-349
14Rotherham UnitedRotherham36129154042-245
15Mansfield TownMansfield37128174351-844
16Exeter CityExeter36128164051-1144
17Wigan AthleticWigan361110153336-343
18Peterborough UnitedPeterborough36119165360-742
19Northampton TownNorthampton371012153754-1742
20Bristol Rovers37126193960-2142
21Burton Albion37812173853-1536
22Crawley TownCrawley3779213971-3230
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge3778223561-2629
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury3777233462-2828


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