League One

League One | Gameweek 40

Apr 7, 2023 at 3pm UK

Mazuma Stadium

Morecambe
1 - 3
Plymouth

Weir (3')
Rawson (30'), Austerfield (74')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Mayor (63'), Waine (86'), Matete (90+3')
Edwards (59'), Matete (90+4')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's League One clash between Morecambe and Plymouth Argyle, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Morecambe

All competitions

Last Game: Barnsley 5-0 Morecambe
Saturday, April 1 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Plymouth Argyle

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Bolton 4-0 Plymouth
Sunday, April 2 at 3pm in EFL Trophy

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Morecambe 1-3 Plymouth Argyle

We can see Plymouth Argyle producing a big response after last weekend's Wembley humiliation, with the visitors expected to enhance their promotion prospects while piling more pressure on lowly Morecambe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Plymouth Argyle win with a probability of 53.93%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Morecambe had a probability of 23.02%.

The most likely scoreline for a Plymouth Argyle win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.81%) and 0-2 (8.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.84%), while for a Morecambe win it was 1-0 (5.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-3 win for Plymouth Argyle in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Plymouth Argyle.

Result
Morecambe	Draw	Plymouth Argyle
23.02% ( 0.02)	23.05% ( 0)	53.93% ( -0.02)

Both teams to score 55.86% (

0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.69% (

0.02)

44.31% (

-0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.31% (

0.02)

66.69% (

-0.02)

Morecambe Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.79% (

0.03)

33.21% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.18% (

0.04)

69.82% (

-0.03)

Plymouth Argyle Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.63% (

16.37%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.01% (

45.99%

Score Analysis

Morecambe 23.02%

Plymouth Argyle 53.93%

Draw 23.05%

Morecambe	Draw	Plymouth Argyle
1-0 @ 5.99% ( -0) 2-1 @ 5.98% ( 0) 2-0 @ 3.3% ( 0) 3-1 @ 2.2% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.99% ( 0) 3-0 @ 1.21% ( 0) Other @ 2.35% Total : 23.02%	1-1 @ 10.84% 0-0 @ 5.44% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.41% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.2% ( 0) Other @ 0.16% Total : 23.05%	0-1 @ 9.84% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 9.81% ( -0) 0-2 @ 8.9% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 5.92% 0-3 @ 5.37% ( -0) 2-3 @ 3.26% ( 0) 1-4 @ 2.68% 0-4 @ 2.43% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.48% ( 0) 1-5 @ 0.97% Other @ 3.27% Total : 53.93%