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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cambridge United win with a probability of 54.86%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Morecambe had a probability of 21.03%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cambridge United win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.23%) and 2-1 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.46%), while for a Morecambe win it was 0-1 (6.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Cambridge United | Draw | Morecambe |
54.86% ( -0.2) | 24.11% ( 0.03) | 21.03% ( 0.17) |
Both teams to score 49.85% ( 0.17) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.01% ( 0.1) | 50.99% ( -0.1) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.14% ( 0.08) | 72.85% ( -0.09) |
Cambridge United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.52% ( -0.04) | 18.47% ( 0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.32% ( -0.06) | 49.67% ( 0.06) |
Morecambe Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.15% ( 0.23) | 38.85% ( -0.23) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.42% ( 0.22) | 75.58% ( -0.22) |
Score Analysis |
Cambridge United | Draw | Morecambe |
1-0 @ 12.12% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 10.23% ( -0.07) 2-1 @ 9.68% 3-0 @ 5.76% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 5.45% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.58% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 2.43% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 2.3% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.09% ( 0) Other @ 3.23% Total : 54.85% | 1-1 @ 11.46% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 7.18% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 4.58% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.9% Total : 24.11% | 0-1 @ 6.79% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 5.42% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 3.21% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 1.71% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.44% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 1.01% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.46% Total : 21.03% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 15 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 35 | 18 | 17 | 35 |
2 | Wrexham | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 31 |
3 | Stockport CountyStockport | 17 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 29 | 17 | 12 | 30 |
4 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 14 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 26 | 15 | 11 | 30 |
5 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 26 |
6 | Barnsley | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 24 | 20 | 4 | 26 |
7 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 23 | 20 | 3 | 26 |
8 | Reading | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 24 | 22 | 2 | 26 |
9 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 24 | 25 | -1 | 26 |
10 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 24 |
11 | Exeter CityExeter | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 14 | 13 | 1 | 23 |
12 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 32 | 29 | 3 | 21 |
13 | Bristol Rovers | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 17 | 21 | -4 | 21 |
14 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 19 |
15 | Stevenage | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 16 | -5 | 19 |
16 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 18 |
17 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 17 |
18 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 17 |
19 | Blackpool | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 30 | -8 | 17 |
20 | Crawley TownCrawley | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 15 | 27 | -12 | 16 |
21 | Leyton Orient | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 15 |
22 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 12 |
23 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 16 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 16 | 29 | -13 | 11 |
24 | Burton Albion | 15 | 1 | 5 | 9 | 15 | 28 | -13 | 8 |
> League One Full Table |