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League One
Morecambe
League One | Gameweek 28
Feb 21, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Mazuma Stadium
Port Vale

Morecambe
1 - 0
Port Vale

Major (51')
Bedeau (60')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Robinson (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Morecambe and Port Vale, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Morecambe

All competitions
Last Game: Morecambe 0-3 Peterborough
Saturday, February 18 at 3pm in League One

Port Vale

All competitions
Last Game: Port Vale 1-0 Exeter
Saturday, February 18 at 3pm in League One

We said: Morecambe 1-0 Port Vale

 Despite losing to playoff contenders Peterborough last time out, Morecambe have been extremely tough to beat at home in recent months, and they will sense an opportunity to move outside of the bottom four on Tuesday. Port Vale have performed above expectations this season but Saturday's win against Exeter was their first victory since January 1, and they may be edged out in what is likely to be a tight game. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 46.91%. A win for Morecambe had a probability of 28.02% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.33%) and 0-2 (8.09%). The likeliest Morecambe win was 1-0 (7.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Morecambe in this match.

Result
MorecambeDrawPort Vale
28.02% (-1.901 -1.9) 25.07% (-0.224 -0.22) 46.91% (2.13 2.13)
Both teams to score 54.16% (-0.476 -0.48)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.14% (-0.065999999999995 -0.07)48.86% (0.068999999999996 0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.04% (-0.059999999999999 -0.06)70.96% (0.064999999999998 0.06)
Morecambe Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.44% (-1.415 -1.42)31.56% (1.419 1.42)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.04% (-1.664 -1.66)67.96% (1.668 1.67)
Port Vale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.14% (0.92400000000001 0.92)20.86% (-0.92 -0.92)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.44% (1.424 1.42)53.56% (-1.42 -1.42)
Score Analysis
    Morecambe 28.02%
    Port Vale 46.91%
    Draw 25.07%
MorecambeDrawPort Vale
1-0 @ 7.59% (-0.281 -0.28)
2-1 @ 6.86% (-0.333 -0.33)
2-0 @ 4.38% (-0.343 -0.34)
3-1 @ 2.64% (-0.238 -0.24)
3-2 @ 2.07% (-0.125 -0.13)
3-0 @ 1.68% (-0.204 -0.2)
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 28.02%
1-1 @ 11.9% (-0.1 -0.1)
0-0 @ 6.59% (0.019 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.38% (-0.106 -0.11)
3-3 @ 1.08% (-0.033 -0.03)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.07%
0-1 @ 10.32% (0.32 0.32)
1-2 @ 9.33% (0.181 0.18)
0-2 @ 8.09% (0.461 0.46)
1-3 @ 4.87% (0.226 0.23)
0-3 @ 4.23% (0.351 0.35)
2-3 @ 2.81% (0.023 0.02)
1-4 @ 1.91% (0.139 0.14)
0-4 @ 1.66% (0.179 0.18)
2-4 @ 1.1% (0.04 0.04)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 46.91%

How you voted: Morecambe vs Port Vale

Morecambe
63.6%
Draw
12.1%
Port Vale
24.2%
33
Head to Head
Dec 26, 2022 3pm
Port Vale
1-0
Morecambe
Massey (40')
Conlon (32')
Apr 10, 2021 3pm
Port Vale
1-0
Morecambe
Smith (34')
Oyeleke (14'), Brisley (26'), Rodney (89')

Lavelle (34')
Oct 3, 2020 3pm
Morecambe
1-0
Port Vale
Phillips (76' pen.)
Gibson (85'), O'Sullivan (90+5')

Legge (77')
Jan 14, 2020 7.45pm
Morecambe
2-1
Port Vale
Old (6'), Stockton (12')
Kenyon (76')
Gibbons (71')
Legge (28')
Oct 5, 2019 3pm
Port Vale
3-1
Morecambe
Joyce (49'), Pope (68', 90')
Crookes (73')
O'Sullivan (18')
Brewitt (45'), Alessandra (48'), Lavelle (76')
Cranston (32')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe14102232161632
2Birmingham CityBirmingham1393124121230
3Wrexham1584322111128
4Stockport CountyStockport167632617927
5Barnsley157532419526
6Lincoln CityLincoln157532117426
7Mansfield TownMansfield137332015524
8Huddersfield TownHuddersfield147252114723
9Exeter CityExeter147251410423
10Reading147252221123
11Bolton WanderersBolton147252224-223
12Peterborough UnitedPeterborough156363127421
13Charlton AthleticCharlton145451515019
14Bristol Rovers155371621-518
15Stevenage155371116-518
16Northampton TownNorthampton154561821-317
17Rotherham UnitedRotherham154561418-417
18Blackpool154562128-717
19Wigan AthleticWigan143561212014
20Leyton Orient144281418-414
21Crawley TownCrawley163491427-1313
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge143291324-1111
23Burton Albion141581525-108
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1522111327-148
> League One Full Table


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