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League One | Gameweek 26
Jan 24, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Portman Road Stadium
Morecambe

Ipswich
4 - 0
Morecambe

Ladapo (1', 16'), Chaplin (38', 45+6')
Chaplin (70')
FT(HT: 4-0)

Bedeau (49'), Crowley (65')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Ipswich Town and Morecambe, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Morecambe 2-1 Cheltenham
Saturday, January 7 at 3pm in League One

We said: Ipswich Town 2-0 Morecambe

Morecambe will have taken confidence from their recent run, and they will certainly be the fresher of the two sides heading into this match. Ipswich have picked up 26 home points this season, though, and we are fully expecting the Blues to secure all three points on Tuesday night. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ipswich Town win with a probability of 79.85%. A draw had a probability of 13.7% and a win for Morecambe had a probability of 6.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ipswich Town win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.9%) and 1-0 (10.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.48%), while for a Morecambe win it was 0-1 (2.52%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ipswich Town would win this match.

Result
Ipswich TownDrawMorecambe
79.85% (0.042000000000002 0.04) 13.65% (-0.02 -0.02) 6.5% (-0.0241 -0.02)
Both teams to score 41.54% (-0.061 -0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.28% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)38.72% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.97% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)61.03% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Ipswich Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.33% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)7.67% (-0.0088999999999997 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
72.62% (0.019000000000005 0.02)27.38% (-0.023 -0.02)
Morecambe Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
44.99% (-0.070999999999998 -0.07)55% (0.067999999999998 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
12.12% (-0.041 -0.04)87.88% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Ipswich Town 79.84%
    Morecambe 6.5%
    Draw 13.65%
Ipswich TownDrawMorecambe
2-0 @ 13.91% (0.02 0.02)
3-0 @ 11.9% (0.02 0.02)
1-0 @ 10.83%
2-1 @ 8.32% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
4-0 @ 7.64% (0.014 0.01)
3-1 @ 7.12% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
4-1 @ 4.57% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
5-0 @ 3.92% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
5-1 @ 2.35%
3-2 @ 2.13% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
6-0 @ 1.68% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.37% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
6-1 @ 1%
Other @ 3.12%
Total : 79.84%
1-1 @ 6.48% (-0.010000000000001 -0.01)
0-0 @ 4.22% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-2 @ 2.49% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 0.47%
Total : 13.65%
0-1 @ 2.52% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-2 @ 1.94% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.04%
Total : 6.5%

How you voted: Ipswich vs Morecambe

Ipswich Town
87.2%
Draw
10.3%
Morecambe
2.6%
39
Head to Head
Oct 8, 2022 3pm
Morecambe
1-2
Ipswich
K (34')
Fane (23')
Edmundson (54'), Evans (65' pen.)
Feb 26, 2022 3pm
Aug 7, 2021 3pm
Ipswich
2-2
Morecambe
Fraser (61'), Bonne (90+1')
Evans (77'), Penney (79'), Norwood (83')
Stockton (22', 72')
O'Connor (49'), Gibson (75')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wrexham7511146816
2Birmingham CityBirmingham6510136716
3Barnsley74121210213
4Charlton AthleticCharlton741275213
5Huddersfield TownHuddersfield7403118312
6Lincoln CityLincoln6321106411
7Stockport CountyStockport6321106411
8Peterborough UnitedPeterborough73221211111
9Blackpool73221313011
10Mansfield TownMansfield63211111011
11Wycombe WanderersWycombe63121210210
12Exeter CityExeter63038629
13Northampton TownNorthampton62228718
14Wigan AthleticWigan72236518
15Stevenage72235508
16Leyton Orient7214911-27
17Reading6213710-37
18Crawley TownCrawley621358-37
19Bolton WanderersBolton6213711-47
20Bristol Rovers7214611-57
21Rotherham UnitedRotherham713359-46
22Burton Albion6042810-24
23Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury7106512-73
24Cambridge UnitedCambridge6015613-71


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