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Morecambe
League One | Gameweek 29
Jan 28, 2023 at 3pm UK
Mazuma Stadium
Bristol Rovers

Morecambe
5 - 1
Bristol Rovers

Crowley (20'), Connolly (47' og.), Love (49'), Stockton (62'), Major (88')
Gibson (45+2'), Major (90+5')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Collins (90')
Connolly (42'), McCormick (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Morecambe and Bristol Rovers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Ipswich 4-0 Morecambe
Tuesday, January 24 at 7.45pm in League One

We said: Morecambe 2-1 Bristol Rovers

Despite their defeat against Ipswich, Morecambe have enjoyed a good run of form that they will have taken confidence from. Bristol Rovers have lost their last two matches 2-0, so we think this will be a closely-fought contest. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol Rovers win with a probability of 37.48%. A win for Morecambe had a probability of 36.52% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bristol Rovers win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.3%) and 0-2 (6.27%). The likeliest Morecambe win was 1-0 (9.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.34%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Morecambe would win this match.

Result
MorecambeDrawBristol Rovers
36.52% (0.209 0.21) 26% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02) 37.48% (-0.189 -0.19)
Both teams to score 54.24% (0.081000000000003 0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.84% (0.102 0.1)50.16% (-0.10100000000001 -0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.88% (0.087 0.09)72.12% (-0.088000000000008 -0.09)
Morecambe Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.38% (0.167 0.17)26.62% (-0.168 -0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.15% (0.222 0.22)61.85% (-0.222 -0.22)
Bristol Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.92% (-0.058999999999997 -0.06)26.08% (0.059000000000001 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.87% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)61.13% (0.079000000000001 0.08)
Score Analysis
    Morecambe 36.52%
    Bristol Rovers 37.48%
    Draw 25.99%
MorecambeDrawBristol Rovers
1-0 @ 9.19% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.17% (0.032 0.03)
2-0 @ 6.08% (0.032999999999999 0.03)
3-1 @ 3.61% (0.031 0.03)
3-0 @ 2.68% (0.028 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.42% (0.017 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.19% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 3.18%
Total : 36.52%
1-1 @ 12.34% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 6.94% (-0.029 -0.03)
2-2 @ 5.49% (0.012 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.09% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.99%
0-1 @ 9.33% (-0.054 -0.05)
1-2 @ 8.3% (-0.020999999999999 -0.02)
0-2 @ 6.27% (-0.047 -0.05)
1-3 @ 3.72% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-3 @ 2.81% (-0.025 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.46% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-4 @ 1.25% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
0-4 @ 0.94% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 37.48%

Head to Head
Sep 3, 2022 3pm
Bristol Rovers
2-2
Morecambe
Loft (29'), Thomas (80')
Thomas (90+1'), McCormick (90+5')
Weir (12'), Phillips (53')
Gibson (16')
Feb 20, 2016 3pm
Bristol Rovers
2-1
Morecambe
Gaffney (68'), Bodin (78')
Brown (58')
Devitt (12' pen.)
Fleming (80')
Oct 3, 2015 3pm
Morecambe
3-4
Bristol Rovers
Miller (43'), Barkhuizen (60'), Mullin (87' pen.)
Fleming (96')
Mansell (28'), Bodin (47'), Taylor (58'), Harrison (80' pen.)
Nicholls (92')
Mar 29, 2014 3pm
Dec 14, 2013 3pm
Morecambe
2-1
Bristol Rovers
Amond (57'), Redshaw (87')
Drummond (44'), Wright (49'), Hughes (60'), Redshaw (88')
O'Toole (30')
Harrold (46'), Clarke (66'), Parkes (89'), Lockyer (91')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham1292123111229
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe1282226161026
3Wrexham1374221101125
4Mansfield TownMansfield127322014624
5Lincoln CityLincoln137332016424
6Bolton WanderersBolton137242219323
7Huddersfield TownHuddersfield137151912722
8Barnsley136432118322
9Reading137152120122
10Stockport CountyStockport135622012821
11Exeter CityExeter126151310319
12Charlton AthleticCharlton135441514119
13Peterborough UnitedPeterborough145362526-118
14Rotherham UnitedRotherham144551416-217
15Stevenage145271015-517
16Blackpool134452125-416
17Bristol Rovers135171520-516
18Northampton TownNorthampton134361720-315
19Wigan AthleticWigan133551211114
20Leyton Orient133281118-711
21Cambridge UnitedCambridge123181117-610
22Crawley TownCrawley133191225-1310
23Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1422101325-128
24Burton Albion120481325-124


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