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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sheffield Wednesday win with a probability of 82.79%. A draw had a probability of 12.4% and a win for Morecambe had a probability of 4.81%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sheffield Wednesday win was 2-0 with a probability of 15.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (13.47%) and 1-0 (11.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.74%), while for a Morecambe win it was 0-1 (2.21%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 13.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sheffield Wednesday would win this match.
Result | ||
Sheffield Wednesday | Draw | Morecambe |
82.79% ( 0.67) | 12.4% ( -0.46) | 4.81% ( -0.2) |
Both teams to score 35.19% ( 0.23) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.35% ( 1.23) | 40.65% ( -1.23) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.96% ( 1.25) | 63.03% ( -1.26) |
Sheffield Wednesday Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
92.55% ( 0.42) | 7.45% ( -0.42) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
73.2% ( 1.08) | 26.8% ( -1.08) |
Morecambe Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
38.03% ( 0.08) | 61.97% ( -0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
8.37% ( 0.04) | 91.62% ( -0.04) |
Score Analysis |
Sheffield Wednesday | Draw | Morecambe |
2-0 @ 15.56% ( -0.21) 3-0 @ 13.47% ( 0.1) 1-0 @ 11.99% ( -0.42) 4-0 @ 8.75% ( 0.25) 2-1 @ 7.45% ( -0.08) 3-1 @ 6.45% ( 0.07) 5-0 @ 4.54% ( 0.22) 4-1 @ 4.19% ( 0.13) 5-1 @ 2.18% ( 0.11) 6-0 @ 1.97% ( 0.14) 3-2 @ 1.54% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1% ( 0.03) 6-1 @ 0.94% ( 0.07) Other @ 2.74% Total : 82.77% | 1-1 @ 5.74% ( -0.19) 0-0 @ 4.62% ( -0.27) 2-2 @ 1.78% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.27% Total : 12.4% | 0-1 @ 2.21% ( -0.12) 1-2 @ 1.37% ( -0.04) Other @ 1.23% Total : 4.81% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 19 | 14 | 3 | 2 | 35 | 16 | 19 | 45 |
2 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 20 | 13 | 5 | 2 | 43 | 22 | 21 | 44 |
3 | Wrexham | 21 | 12 | 6 | 3 | 31 | 14 | 17 | 42 |
4 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 20 | 12 | 3 | 5 | 34 | 18 | 16 | 39 |
5 | Stockport CountyStockport | 21 | 10 | 6 | 5 | 34 | 22 | 12 | 36 |
6 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 21 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 28 | 25 | 3 | 31 |
7 | Reading | 20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 30 | 30 | 0 | 31 |
8 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 19 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 28 | 29 | -1 | 31 |
9 | Barnsley | 21 | 8 | 6 | 7 | 29 | 30 | -1 | 30 |
10 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 28 |
11 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 20 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 27 |
12 | Blackpool | 20 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 29 | 31 | -2 | 27 |
13 | Exeter CityExeter | 20 | 8 | 3 | 9 | 19 | 22 | -3 | 27 |
14 | Stevenage | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 26 |
15 | Leyton Orient | 20 | 7 | 4 | 9 | 23 | 20 | 3 | 25 |
16 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 20 | 7 | 3 | 10 | 38 | 37 | 1 | 24 |
17 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 20 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 18 | 1 | 24 |
18 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 19 | 21 | -2 | 23 |
19 | Bristol Rovers | 20 | 6 | 4 | 10 | 18 | 29 | -11 | 22 |
20 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 21 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 21 | 34 | -13 | 21 |
21 | Crawley TownCrawley | 20 | 5 | 4 | 11 | 20 | 33 | -13 | 19 |
22 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 20 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 20 | 35 | -15 | 17 |
23 | Burton Albion | 20 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 17 | 32 | -15 | 12 |
24 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 20 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 21 | 41 | -20 | 12 |
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