We said: Morecambe 1-1 Charlton Athletic
With neither side in particularly good form, that may suit the hosts as they look to cause an upset.
However, we think this will be a tightly-contested affair at the Mazuma Stadium, as Charlton have only won once on their travels while Morecambe have the second-worst home record in the division.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Charlton Athletic win with a probability of 38.79%. A win for Morecambe had a probability of 34.58% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Charlton Athletic win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.37%) and 0-2 (6.79%). The likeliest Morecambe win was 1-0 (9.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Charlton Athletic would win this match.